BOS Better Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| BOSC Stock | USD 4.88 0.01 0.21% |
BOS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BOS Better stock prices and determine the direction of BOS Better Online's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BOS Better's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of BOS Better's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BOS Better, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.002 | Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.159 |
Using BOS Better hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BOS Better Online from the perspective of BOS Better response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of BOS Better Online on the next trading day is expected to be 4.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.34. BOS Better after-hype prediction price | USD 4.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BOS Better to cross-verify your projections. BOS Better Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BOS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BOS using various technical indicators. When you analyze BOS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BOS Better Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of BOS Better Online on the next trading day is expected to be 4.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BOS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BOS Better's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BOS Better Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BOS Better | BOS Better Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BOS Better Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BOS Better's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BOS Better's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.18 and 8.79, respectively. We have considered BOS Better's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BOS Better stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BOS Better stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5687 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1859 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0363 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.34 |
Predictive Modules for BOS Better
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BOS Better Online. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BOS Better's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BOS Better After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BOS Better at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BOS Better or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BOS Better, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BOS Better Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BOS Better's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BOS Better's historical news coverage. BOS Better's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.06 and 8.68, respectively. We have considered BOS Better's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BOS Better is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BOS Better Online is based on 3 months time horizon.
BOS Better Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BOS Better is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BOS Better backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BOS Better, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 3.81 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.88 | 4.87 | 0.20 |
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BOS Better Hype Timeline
BOS Better Online is currently traded for 4.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. BOS is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on BOS Better is about 4762.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.89. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BOS Better Online had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:4 split on the 14th of December 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BOS Better to cross-verify your projections.BOS Better Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BOS Better's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BOS Better's future price movements. Getting to know how BOS Better's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BOS Better may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USIO | Usio Inc | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.80 | (3.31) | 10.52 | |
| MOGO | Mogo Inc | 0.07 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 4.50 | (6.40) | 14.17 | |
| LPSN | LivePerson | 0.1 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 7.31 | (6.85) | 25.36 | |
| MOBX | Mobix Labs | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 12.50 | (13.51) | 61.62 | |
| SNAL | Snail Class A | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.98 | (5.41) | 26.50 | |
| SVRE | SaverOne 2014 Ltd | 0.45 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 13.49 | (10.19) | 64.89 | |
| BLIV | BeLive Holdings Ordinary | 0.29 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.96 | (8.10) | 25.35 | |
| AXIL | AXIL Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.56 | 0.05 | 8.63 | (8.17) | 67.53 | |
| BMR | Beamr Imaging Ltd | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.90 | (8.19) | 19.23 | |
| VBIX | Viewbix Common Stock | (0.07) | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.76 | (7.00) | 53.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for BOS Better
For every potential investor in BOS, whether a beginner or expert, BOS Better's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BOS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BOS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BOS Better's price trends.BOS Better Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BOS Better stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BOS Better could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BOS Better by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BOS Better Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BOS Better stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BOS Better shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BOS Better stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BOS Better Online entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BOS Better Risk Indicators
The analysis of BOS Better's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BOS Better's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.91 | |||
| Variance | 15.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BOS Better
The number of cover stories for BOS Better depends on current market conditions and BOS Better's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BOS Better is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BOS Better's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BOS Better Short Properties
BOS Better's future price predictability will typically decrease when BOS Better's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BOS Better Online often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BOS Better's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BOS Better's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BOS Better to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BOS Better. If investors know BOS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BOS Better listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.002 | Earnings Share 0.51 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.159 | Return On Assets |
The market value of BOS Better Online is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BOS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BOS Better's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BOS Better's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BOS Better's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BOS Better's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BOS Better's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BOS Better is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BOS Better's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.