Borneo Olah Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BOSS Stock | IDR 50.00 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Borneo Olah Sarana on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Borneo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Borneo Olah's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Borneo Olah hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Borneo Olah Sarana from the perspective of Borneo Olah response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Borneo Olah Sarana on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Borneo Olah after-hype prediction price | IDR 50.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Borneo |
Borneo Olah Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Borneo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Borneo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Borneo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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Borneo Olah Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Borneo Olah Sarana on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Borneo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Borneo Olah's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Borneo Olah Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Borneo Olah | Borneo Olah Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Borneo Olah Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Borneo Olah's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Borneo Olah's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered Borneo Olah's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Borneo Olah stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Borneo Olah stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Borneo Olah
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Borneo Olah Sarana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Borneo Olah After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Borneo Olah at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Borneo Olah or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Borneo Olah, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Borneo Olah Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Borneo Olah's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Borneo Olah's historical news coverage. Borneo Olah's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered Borneo Olah's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Borneo Olah is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Borneo Olah Sarana is based on 3 months time horizon.
Borneo Olah Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Borneo Olah is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Borneo Olah backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Borneo Olah, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
50.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 |
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Borneo Olah Hype Timeline
Borneo Olah Sarana is currently traded for 50.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Borneo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Borneo Olah is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.00. About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 23.61. Borneo Olah Sarana had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Borneo Olah to cross-verify your projections.Borneo Olah Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Borneo Olah's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Borneo Olah's future price movements. Getting to know how Borneo Olah's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Borneo Olah may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FIRE | Alfa Energi Investama | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.40 | 0.21 | 10.77 | (5.15) | 43.79 | |
| ARII | Atlas Resources Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.06 | 5.19 | (3.27) | 18.80 | |
| BSSR | Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | 0.05 | 1.27 | (0.51) | 4.78 | |
| ZINC | Kapuas Prima Coal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.87 | 0.14 | 9.52 | (8.57) | 20.00 | |
| SMMT | Golden Eagle Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.84 | (5.93) | 30.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for Borneo Olah
For every potential investor in Borneo, whether a beginner or expert, Borneo Olah's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Borneo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Borneo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Borneo Olah's price trends.Borneo Olah Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Borneo Olah stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Borneo Olah could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Borneo Olah by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Borneo Olah Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Borneo Olah stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Borneo Olah shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Borneo Olah stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Borneo Olah Sarana entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Borneo Olah
The number of cover stories for Borneo Olah depends on current market conditions and Borneo Olah's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Borneo Olah is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Borneo Olah's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Borneo Olah Short Properties
Borneo Olah's future price predictability will typically decrease when Borneo Olah's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Borneo Olah Sarana often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Borneo Olah's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Borneo Olah's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Other Information on Investing in Borneo Stock
Borneo Olah financial ratios help investors to determine whether Borneo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Borneo with respect to the benefits of owning Borneo Olah security.