Biophytis Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| BPTSY Stock | 0.50 0.49 4,445% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Biophytis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biophytis SA from the perspective of Biophytis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Biophytis SA on the next trading day is expected to be -0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.25. Biophytis after-hype prediction price | USD 0.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Biophytis |
Biophytis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Biophytis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biophytis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biophytis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Biophytis Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Biophytis SA on the next trading day is expected to be -0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Biophytis Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Biophytis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Biophytis Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
Biophytis Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Biophytis' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Biophytis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 182.25, respectively. We have considered Biophytis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Biophytis pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Biophytis pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4034 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3483 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 42.0623 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.2453 |
Predictive Modules for Biophytis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biophytis SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Biophytis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Biophytis Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Biophytis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Biophytis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Biophytis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Biophytis Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Biophytis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Biophytis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Biophytis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
29.40 | 182.73 | 0.00 | 0.88 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
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Biophytis Hype Timeline
Biophytis SA is currently traded for 0.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.88. Biophytis is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 29.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Biophytis is about 609100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.38. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.Biophytis Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Biophytis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Biophytis' future price movements. Getting to know how Biophytis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Biophytis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARAT | Arax Holdings Corp | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PLPL | Plandai Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AGSS | Ameriguard Security Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.53 | 0.07 | 34.86 | (26.78) | 92.13 | |
| FORW | Forwardly | 0.06 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 16.00 | (13.51) | 59.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Biophytis
For every potential investor in Biophytis, whether a beginner or expert, Biophytis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Biophytis Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Biophytis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Biophytis' price trends.Biophytis Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Biophytis pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Biophytis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biophytis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Biophytis Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Biophytis pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Biophytis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Biophytis pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Biophytis SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 45.45 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.24 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.489 |
Biophytis Risk Indicators
The analysis of Biophytis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Biophytis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting biophytis pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 160.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 559.84 | |||
| Variance | 313425.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Biophytis
The number of cover stories for Biophytis depends on current market conditions and Biophytis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Biophytis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Biophytis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Biophytis Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Biophytis' price analysis, check to measure Biophytis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biophytis is operating at the current time. Most of Biophytis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biophytis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biophytis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biophytis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.