Bram Indus Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

BRAM Stock  ILA 152.30  0.10  0.07%   
Bram Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bram Indus stock prices and determine the direction of Bram Indus's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Bram Indus' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Bram Indus' stock price is about 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bram, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bram Indus' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bram Indus, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bram Indus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bram Indus from the perspective of Bram Indus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bram Indus on the next trading day is expected to be 144.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 604.79.

Bram Indus after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 152.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bram Indus to cross-verify your projections.

Bram Indus Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bram price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bram using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bram charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Bram Indus price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Bram Indus Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bram Indus on the next trading day is expected to be 144.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.91, mean absolute percentage error of 141.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 604.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bram Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bram Indus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bram Indus Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bram Indus  Bram Indus Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Bram Indus Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bram Indus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bram Indus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 140.55 and 148.49, respectively. We have considered Bram Indus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
152.30
140.55
Downside
144.52
Expected Value
148.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bram Indus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bram Indus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.0648
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.9146
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0741
SAESum of the absolute errors604.7923
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Bram Indus historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Bram Indus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bram Indus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
148.33152.30156.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.26123.23167.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.43149.69154.65
Details

Bram Indus After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bram Indus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bram Indus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bram Indus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bram Indus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bram Indus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bram Indus' historical news coverage. Bram Indus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 148.33 and 156.27, respectively. We have considered Bram Indus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
152.30
148.33
Downside
152.30
After-hype Price
156.27
Upside
Bram Indus is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bram Indus is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bram Indus Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bram Indus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bram Indus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bram Indus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
3.97
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
152.30
152.30
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Bram Indus Hype Timeline

Bram Indus is currently traded for 152.30on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bram is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bram Indus is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 152.30. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bram Indus last dividend was issued on the 10th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bram Indus to cross-verify your projections.

Bram Indus Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bram Indus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bram Indus' future price movements. Getting to know how Bram Indus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bram Indus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LUMIBank Leumi Le Israel 0.00 0 per month 1.21  0.06  2.89 (2.22) 6.10 
MZTFMizrahi Tefahot 0.00 0 per month 1.40  0.0007  2.60 (1.91) 7.23 
AZRGAzrieli Group 0.00 0 per month 1.48  0.11  4.08 (2.50) 12.74 
DSCTIsrael Discount Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.36  0.08  3.09 (2.18) 10.42 
PHOEThe Phoenix Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.96  0.08  3.97 (2.54) 12.61 
ALHEAlony Hetz Properties 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.37 (2.21) 9.62 
MLSRMelisron 0.00 0 per month 1.47 (0.05) 2.08 (2.42) 12.85 
DLEKGDelek Group 0.00 0 per month 1.65  0.01  2.52 (2.92) 6.55 
FIBIFirst International Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.38  0.07  3.37 (1.93) 8.27 
ARPTAirport City 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.98 (2.53) 9.41 

Other Forecasting Options for Bram Indus

For every potential investor in Bram, whether a beginner or expert, Bram Indus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bram Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bram. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bram Indus' price trends.

Bram Indus Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bram Indus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bram Indus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bram Indus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bram Indus Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bram Indus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bram Indus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bram Indus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bram Indus entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bram Indus Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bram Indus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bram Indus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bram stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bram Indus

The number of cover stories for Bram Indus depends on current market conditions and Bram Indus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bram Indus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bram Indus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Bram Stock

Bram Indus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bram Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bram with respect to the benefits of owning Bram Indus security.