Berkshire Hathaway Stock Forward View
| BRK-B Stock | USD 495.92 1.04 0.21% |
Berkshire Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Berkshire Hathaway stock prices and determine the direction of Berkshire Hathaway's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Berkshire Hathaway's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Berkshire Hathaway's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Berkshire Hathaway hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Berkshire Hathaway from the perspective of Berkshire Hathaway response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Berkshire Hathaway using Berkshire Hathaway's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Berkshire using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Berkshire Hathaway's stock price.
Berkshire Hathaway Implied Volatility | 0.25 |
Berkshire Hathaway's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Berkshire Hathaway stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Berkshire Hathaway's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Berkshire Hathaway stock will not fluctuate a lot when Berkshire Hathaway's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Berkshire Hathaway on the next trading day is expected to be 509.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 282.78. Berkshire Hathaway after-hype prediction price | $ 495.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Berkshire contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Berkshire Hathaway will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0156% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Berkshire Hathaway trading at $ 495.92, that is roughly $ 0.0775 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Berkshire Hathaway's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Berkshire Hathaway options at the current volatility level of 0.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Berkshire Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Berkshire Hathaway's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Berkshire Hathaway's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Berkshire Hathaway stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Berkshire Hathaway's open interest, investors have to compare it to Berkshire Hathaway's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Berkshire Hathaway is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Berkshire. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Berkshire Hathaway Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Berkshire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Berkshire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Berkshire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Berkshire Hathaway Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Berkshire Hathaway on the next trading day is expected to be 509.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.64, mean absolute percentage error of 29.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 282.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Berkshire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Berkshire Hathaway's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Berkshire Hathaway Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Berkshire Hathaway | Berkshire Hathaway Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Berkshire Hathaway stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Berkshire Hathaway stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4867 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.6358 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0096 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 282.7809 |
Predictive Modules for Berkshire Hathaway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berkshire Hathaway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Berkshire Hathaway After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Berkshire Hathaway at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Berkshire Hathaway or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Berkshire Hathaway, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Berkshire Hathaway Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Berkshire Hathaway's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Berkshire Hathaway's historical news coverage. Berkshire Hathaway's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 495.92 and 495.92, respectively. We have considered Berkshire Hathaway's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Berkshire Hathaway is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Berkshire Hathaway is based on 3 months time horizon.
Berkshire Hathaway Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Berkshire Hathaway is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Berkshire Hathaway backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Berkshire Hathaway, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
495.92 | 495.92 | 0.00 |
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Berkshire Hathaway Hype Timeline
Berkshire Hathaway is currently traded for 495.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Berkshire is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Berkshire Hathaway is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 495.92. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Berkshire Hathaway recorded earning per share (EPS) of 29.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 50:1 split on the 21st of January 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.Berkshire Hathaway Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Berkshire Hathaway's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Berkshire Hathaway's future price movements. Getting to know how Berkshire Hathaway's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Berkshire Hathaway may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (4.84) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.34 | (3.11) | 7.38 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.69 | 0.18 | 1.58 | (1.62) | 5.65 | |
| AIG | American International Group | 2.38 | 7 per month | 1.79 | 0.02 | 2.48 | (2.37) | 13.58 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | 0.98 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.73 | (2.47) | 5.67 | |
| BNT | Brookfield Wealth Solutions | 0.51 | 7 per month | 2.36 | 0.01 | 2.37 | (3.87) | 9.72 | |
| V | Visa Class A | (5.17) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.73 | (1.88) | 10.57 | |
| PFG | Principal Financial Group | (0.84) | 6 per month | 1.17 | 0.07 | 2.34 | (2.39) | 5.63 | |
| ORI | Old Republic International | (0.23) | 9 per month | 2.04 | 0.04 | 2.47 | (1.95) | 12.07 |
Berkshire Hathaway Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Berkshire Hathaway stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Berkshire Hathaway could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Berkshire Hathaway by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Berkshire Hathaway Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Berkshire Hathaway stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Berkshire Hathaway shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Berkshire Hathaway stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Berkshire Hathaway entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0128 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.16) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 496.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 496.25 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 6.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.04) |
Berkshire Hathaway Risk Indicators
The analysis of Berkshire Hathaway's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Berkshire Hathaway's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting berkshire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6641 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9393 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8624 | |||
| Variance | 0.7438 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9375 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8824 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Berkshire Hathaway
The number of cover stories for Berkshire Hathaway depends on current market conditions and Berkshire Hathaway's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Berkshire Hathaway is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Berkshire Hathaway's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Berkshire Hathaway Short Properties
Berkshire Hathaway's future price predictability will typically decrease when Berkshire Hathaway's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Berkshire Hathaway often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Berkshire Hathaway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berkshire Hathaway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 334.2 B |
Other Information on Investing in Berkshire Stock
Berkshire Hathaway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Berkshire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Berkshire with respect to the benefits of owning Berkshire Hathaway security.