Baan Rock Stock Forward View

BROCK Stock  THB 1.19  0.02  1.65%   
Baan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Baan Rock stock prices and determine the direction of Baan Rock Garden's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Baan Rock's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of now the value of rsi of Baan Rock's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Baan Rock's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baan Rock Garden, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Baan Rock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baan Rock Garden from the perspective of Baan Rock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baan Rock Garden on the next trading day is expected to be 1.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.45.

Baan Rock after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 1.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baan Rock to cross-verify your projections.

Baan Rock Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Baan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Baan Rock is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Baan Rock Garden value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Baan Rock Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baan Rock Garden on the next trading day is expected to be 1.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baan Rock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baan Rock Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Baan Rock  Baan Rock Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Baan Rock Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baan Rock's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baan Rock's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.82, respectively. We have considered Baan Rock's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.19
1.19
Expected Value
3.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baan Rock stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baan Rock stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.9558
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0238
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors1.4524
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Baan Rock Garden. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Baan Rock. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Baan Rock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baan Rock Garden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.193.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.243.88
Details

Baan Rock After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Baan Rock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baan Rock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Baan Rock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Baan Rock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Baan Rock's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baan Rock's historical news coverage. Baan Rock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 3.83, respectively. We have considered Baan Rock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.19
1.19
After-hype Price
3.83
Upside
Baan Rock is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baan Rock Garden is based on 3 months time horizon.

Baan Rock Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Baan Rock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baan Rock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baan Rock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
2.63
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.19
1.19
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Baan Rock Hype Timeline

Baan Rock Garden is currently traded for 1.19on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Baan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Baan Rock is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.19. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Baan Rock Garden has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 103.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2022. The firm had 41:40 split on the 5th of March 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Baan Rock to cross-verify your projections.

Baan Rock Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Baan Rock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baan Rock's future price movements. Getting to know how Baan Rock's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baan Rock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Baan Rock

For every potential investor in Baan, whether a beginner or expert, Baan Rock's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baan Rock's price trends.

Baan Rock Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baan Rock stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baan Rock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baan Rock by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baan Rock Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baan Rock stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baan Rock shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baan Rock stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baan Rock Garden entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baan Rock Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baan Rock's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baan Rock's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Baan Rock

The number of cover stories for Baan Rock depends on current market conditions and Baan Rock's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baan Rock is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baan Rock's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Baan Stock

Baan Rock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baan with respect to the benefits of owning Baan Rock security.