Beacon Rise Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BRS Stock | 160.00 0.00 0.00% |
Beacon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Beacon Rise stock prices and determine the direction of Beacon Rise Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Beacon Rise's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Beacon Rise's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Beacon Rise hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beacon Rise Holdings from the perspective of Beacon Rise response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Beacon Rise Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 160.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Beacon Rise after-hype prediction price | GBX 160.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Beacon |
Beacon Rise Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Beacon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beacon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beacon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Beacon Rise Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Beacon Rise Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 160.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beacon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beacon Rise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Beacon Rise Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Beacon Rise | Beacon Rise Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Beacon Rise Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Beacon Rise's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beacon Rise's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 160.00 and 160.00, respectively. We have considered Beacon Rise's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beacon Rise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beacon Rise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Beacon Rise
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beacon Rise Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Beacon Rise After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Beacon Rise at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beacon Rise or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Beacon Rise, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Beacon Rise Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Beacon Rise's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Beacon Rise's historical news coverage. Beacon Rise's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 160.00 and 160.00, respectively. We have considered Beacon Rise's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Beacon Rise is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Beacon Rise Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Beacon Rise Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beacon Rise is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beacon Rise backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beacon Rise, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
160.00 | 160.00 | 0.00 |
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Beacon Rise Hype Timeline
Beacon Rise Holdings is currently traded for 160.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Beacon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Beacon Rise is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 160.00. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.22. Beacon Rise Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beacon Rise to cross-verify your projections.Beacon Rise Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Beacon Rise's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beacon Rise's future price movements. Getting to know how Beacon Rise's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beacon Rise may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHP | Caledonian Holdings PLC | (0) | 3 per month | 6.86 | 0.07 | 33.33 | (20.00) | 58.33 | |
| SYME | SupplyMe Capital PLC | (0.0005) | 4 per month | 10.41 | 0.04 | 33.33 | (20.00) | 137.78 | |
| LLPD | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.63 | |
| LLOY | Lloyds Banking Group | 2.55 | 5 per month | 1.34 | 0.11 | 2.99 | (1.94) | 9.35 | |
| GTCO | Guaranty Trust Holding | 0.0008 | 5 per month | 3.67 | 0.13 | 8.83 | (5.20) | 23.04 | |
| TRP | Tower Resources plc | (0) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.14 | (6.90) | 19.14 | |
| SNDA | Sunda Energy Plc | 0 | 2 per month | 3.89 | 0.14 | 16.67 | (8.00) | 37.99 | |
| SANB | SANTANDER UK 8 | (0.50) | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 1.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Beacon Rise
For every potential investor in Beacon, whether a beginner or expert, Beacon Rise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beacon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beacon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beacon Rise's price trends.Beacon Rise Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beacon Rise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beacon Rise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beacon Rise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Beacon Rise Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beacon Rise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beacon Rise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beacon Rise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beacon Rise Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Beacon Rise
The number of cover stories for Beacon Rise depends on current market conditions and Beacon Rise's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beacon Rise is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beacon Rise's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Beacon Rise Short Properties
Beacon Rise's future price predictability will typically decrease when Beacon Rise's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Beacon Rise Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Beacon Rise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beacon Rise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1183.00 | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 150.1 K |
Other Information on Investing in Beacon Stock
Beacon Rise financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beacon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beacon with respect to the benefits of owning Beacon Rise security.