Banco Santander Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average

BSA Stock  EUR 29.20  1.20  3.95%   
Banco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Banco Santander's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Banco Santander's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Banco Santander's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Banco Santander and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Banco Santander's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banco Santander Chile, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Banco Santander's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Wall Street Target Price
22.76
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using Banco Santander hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Santander Chile from the perspective of Banco Santander response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Santander Chile on the next trading day is expected to be 29.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.85.

Banco Santander after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 29.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections.

Banco Santander Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Banco Santander is based on an artificially constructed time series of Banco Santander daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Banco Santander 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Santander Chile on the next trading day is expected to be 29.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Santander's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banco Santander Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Banco Santander  Banco Santander Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Banco Santander Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banco Santander's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco Santander's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.86 and 32.79, respectively. We have considered Banco Santander's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.20
29.82
Expected Value
32.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Santander stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Santander stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.1036
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4019
MADMean absolute deviation0.6575
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors34.85
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Banco Santander Chile 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Banco Santander

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Santander Chile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.2329.2032.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.7328.7031.67
Details

Banco Santander After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Banco Santander at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Santander or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banco Santander, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Banco Santander Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Banco Santander's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Santander's historical news coverage. Banco Santander's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.23 and 32.17, respectively. We have considered Banco Santander's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
29.20
29.20
After-hype Price
32.17
Upside
Banco Santander is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Santander Chile is based on 3 months time horizon.

Banco Santander Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco Santander is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Santander backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Santander, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
2.97
 0.00  
  0.23 
8 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.20
29.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Banco Santander Hype Timeline

Banco Santander Chile is currently traded for 29.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.23. Banco is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Banco Santander is about 396.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.97. The book value of the company was currently reported as 24.37. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.3. Banco Santander Chile last dividend was issued on the 23rd of April 2025. The entity had 2.5975:1 split on the 22nd of October 2012. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections.

Banco Santander Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Santander's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Santander's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Santander's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Santander may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
5PMAGREENX METALS LTD 0.02 5 per month 3.04  0.08  7.55 (6.12) 29.12 
81MCOGNYTE SOFTWARE LTD(0.20)9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.03 (7.06) 18.18 
CPWCheck Point Software(5.10)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.55 (4.23) 11.87 
SQSSqs Software Quality 0.00 0 per month 3.00  0.08  5.59 (4.32) 14.90 
P4QPerseus Mining Limited 0.02 8 per month 3.24  0.11  4.45 (3.40) 16.53 
7SASkymark Airlines 0.01 1 per month 2.79 (0.02) 2.56 (2.59) 26.52 
INRInternational Consolidated Airlines 0.16 7 per month 1.39  0.11  3.04 (2.27) 8.20 
UAL1United Airlines Holdings(0.91)7 per month 2.17  0.04  4.98 (3.91) 13.92 

Other Forecasting Options for Banco Santander

For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco Santander's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco Santander's price trends.

Banco Santander Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco Santander stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco Santander could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco Santander by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banco Santander Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Santander stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Santander shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Santander stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Santander Chile entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banco Santander Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banco Santander's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banco Santander's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Banco Santander

The number of cover stories for Banco Santander depends on current market conditions and Banco Santander's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Santander is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Santander's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Banco Santander Chile offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco Santander's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco Santander Chile Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco Santander Chile Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Santander to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
It's important to distinguish between Banco Santander's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Banco Santander should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Banco Santander's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.