Blue Star Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BSFC Stock  USD 0.24  0.01  4.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blue Star Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.47. Blue Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Blue Star stock prices and determine the direction of Blue Star Foods's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Blue Star's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 3.77, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 8.57. . As of November 25, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 96.6 K. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (11.3 M).

Blue Star Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Blue Star's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2017-03-31
Previous Quarter
73.1 K
Current Value
72.7 K
Quarterly Volatility
790.9 K
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Blue Star is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Blue Star Foods value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Blue Star Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blue Star Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blue Star's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Blue Star Stock Forecast Pattern

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Blue Star Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Blue Star's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blue Star's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.41, respectively. We have considered Blue Star's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.24
0.26
Expected Value
8.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blue Star stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blue Star stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3095
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0406
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0821
SAESum of the absolute errors2.4743
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Blue Star Foods. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Blue Star. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Blue Star

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Star Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.168.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.265.1713.33
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.2020.0022.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blue Star. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blue Star's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blue Star's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blue Star Foods.

Other Forecasting Options for Blue Star

For every potential investor in Blue, whether a beginner or expert, Blue Star's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blue Star's price trends.

View Blue Star Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Blue Star Foods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Blue Star's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Blue Star's current price.

Blue Star Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blue Star stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blue Star shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blue Star stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blue Star Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Blue Star Risk Indicators

The analysis of Blue Star's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blue Star's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Blue Star Foods offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Blue Star's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Blue Star Foods Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Blue Star Foods Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Star to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Star. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Star listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
30.16
Revenue Per Share
12.84
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.073
Return On Assets
(0.31)
Return On Equity
(1.74)
The market value of Blue Star Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Star's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Star's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Star's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Star's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Star's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Star is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Star's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.