Basic-Fit Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BSFFF Stock  USD 23.59  2.47  9.48%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Basic Fit NV on the next trading day is expected to be 22.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.31. Basic-Fit Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Basic-Fit's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Basic-Fit is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Basic Fit NV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Basic-Fit Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Basic Fit NV on the next trading day is expected to be 22.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Basic-Fit Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Basic-Fit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Basic-Fit Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Basic-Fit Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Basic-Fit's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Basic-Fit's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.31 and 24.58, respectively. We have considered Basic-Fit's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.59
22.95
Expected Value
24.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Basic-Fit pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Basic-Fit pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7372
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3822
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0149
SAESum of the absolute errors23.3143
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Basic Fit NV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Basic-Fit. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Basic-Fit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Basic Fit NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9523.5925.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8322.4724.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Basic-Fit. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Basic-Fit's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Basic-Fit's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Basic Fit NV.

Other Forecasting Options for Basic-Fit

For every potential investor in Basic-Fit, whether a beginner or expert, Basic-Fit's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Basic-Fit Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Basic-Fit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Basic-Fit's price trends.

Basic-Fit Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Basic-Fit pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Basic-Fit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Basic-Fit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Basic Fit NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Basic-Fit's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Basic-Fit's current price.

Basic-Fit Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Basic-Fit pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Basic-Fit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Basic-Fit pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Basic Fit NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Basic-Fit Risk Indicators

The analysis of Basic-Fit's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Basic-Fit's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting basic-fit pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Basic-Fit Pink Sheet

Basic-Fit financial ratios help investors to determine whether Basic-Fit Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Basic-Fit with respect to the benefits of owning Basic-Fit security.