Brightsphere Investment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BSIG Stock | USD 30.99 0.46 1.51% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brightsphere Investment Group on the next trading day is expected to be 30.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.91. Brightsphere Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Brightsphere Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Brightsphere |
Brightsphere Investment Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Brightsphere Investment's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2013-03-31 | Previous Quarter 73.4 M | Current Value 53.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 264.3 M |
Brightsphere Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Brightsphere Investment Group on the next trading day is expected to be 30.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brightsphere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brightsphere Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brightsphere Investment Stock Forecast Pattern
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Brightsphere Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brightsphere Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brightsphere Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.12 and 32.11, respectively. We have considered Brightsphere Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brightsphere Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brightsphere Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7337 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7034 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0274 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 42.905 |
Predictive Modules for Brightsphere Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brightsphere Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Brightsphere Investment
For every potential investor in Brightsphere, whether a beginner or expert, Brightsphere Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brightsphere Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brightsphere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brightsphere Investment's price trends.View Brightsphere Investment Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brightsphere Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Brightsphere Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Brightsphere Investment's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Brightsphere Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brightsphere Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brightsphere Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brightsphere Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brightsphere Investment Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Brightsphere Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brightsphere Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brightsphere Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brightsphere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Brightsphere Investment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Brightsphere Investment's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Brightsphere Investment's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Brightsphere Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brightsphere Investment to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brightsphere Investment. If investors know Brightsphere will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brightsphere Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 0.04 | Earnings Share 1.64 | Revenue Per Share 12.087 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.147 |
The market value of Brightsphere Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brightsphere that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brightsphere Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brightsphere Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brightsphere Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brightsphere Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brightsphere Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brightsphere Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brightsphere Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.