Bitwise Solana Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BSOL Etf | 15.52 0.01 0.06% |
Bitwise Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the relative strength momentum indicator of Bitwise Solana's share price is approaching 40 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bitwise Solana, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bitwise Solana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bitwise Solana Staking from the perspective of Bitwise Solana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bitwise Solana using Bitwise Solana's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bitwise using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bitwise Solana's stock price.
Bitwise Solana Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
Bitwise Solana's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bitwise Solana Staking stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bitwise Solana's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bitwise Solana stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bitwise Solana's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bitwise Solana Staking on the next trading day is expected to be 15.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.41. Bitwise Solana after-hype prediction price | USD 15.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitwise Solana to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bitwise contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bitwise Solana Staking will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Bitwise Solana trading at USD 15.52, that is roughly USD 0.006693 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bitwise Solana's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bitwise Solana Staking options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Bitwise Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bitwise Solana's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bitwise Solana's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bitwise Solana stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bitwise Solana's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bitwise Solana's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bitwise Solana is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bitwise. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Bitwise Solana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bitwise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bitwise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bitwise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bitwise Solana Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bitwise Solana Staking on the next trading day is expected to be 15.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bitwise Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bitwise Solana's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bitwise Solana Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bitwise Solana | Bitwise Solana Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bitwise Solana Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bitwise Solana's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bitwise Solana's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.84 and 20.20, respectively. We have considered Bitwise Solana's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bitwise Solana etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bitwise Solana etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8813 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1257 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6568 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.41 |
Predictive Modules for Bitwise Solana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitwise Solana Staking. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bitwise Solana After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bitwise Solana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bitwise Solana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Bitwise Solana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bitwise Solana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bitwise Solana's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bitwise Solana's historical news coverage. Bitwise Solana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.18 and 20.54, respectively. We have considered Bitwise Solana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bitwise Solana is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bitwise Solana Staking is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bitwise Solana Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Bitwise Solana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bitwise Solana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bitwise Solana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 4.68 | 0.34 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.52 | 15.86 | 2.19 |
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Bitwise Solana Hype Timeline
Bitwise Solana Staking is currently traded for 15.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Bitwise is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.86 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 2.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Bitwise Solana is about 20057.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.51. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitwise Solana to cross-verify your projections.Bitwise Solana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bitwise Solana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bitwise Solana's future price movements. Getting to know how Bitwise Solana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bitwise Solana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIME | CoinShares Altcoins ETF | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.21 | (9.41) | 36.78 | |
| QSOL | Invesco Galaxy Solana | (0.44) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.64 | (6.84) | 20.06 | |
| VAVX | VanEck Avalanche ETF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.62 | (8.25) | 3.94 | |
| DOJE | DOJE | 0.43 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.07 | (8.51) | 30.30 | |
| QXAS | Tidal Trust II | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.85 | (5.15) | 9.00 | |
| MNRS | Grayscale Funds Trust | (0.58) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.29 | (6.90) | 23.19 | |
| IBIT | iShares Bitcoin Trust | 0.76 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.07 | (5.53) | 12.95 | |
| IETH | Bitwise Funds Trust | 0.49 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.81 | (7.48) | 17.34 | |
| VSOL | VanEck Solana ETF | (0.94) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.90 | (6.89) | 23.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bitwise Solana
For every potential investor in Bitwise, whether a beginner or expert, Bitwise Solana's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bitwise Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bitwise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bitwise Solana's price trends.Bitwise Solana Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bitwise Solana etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bitwise Solana could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bitwise Solana by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bitwise Solana Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bitwise Solana etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bitwise Solana shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bitwise Solana etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Bitwise Solana Staking entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bitwise Solana Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bitwise Solana's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bitwise Solana's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bitwise etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.93 | |||
| Variance | 24.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bitwise Solana
The number of cover stories for Bitwise Solana depends on current market conditions and Bitwise Solana's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bitwise Solana is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bitwise Solana's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bitwise Solana to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Investors evaluate Bitwise Solana Staking using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bitwise Solana's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bitwise Solana's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bitwise Solana's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bitwise Solana should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bitwise Solana's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.