BSR Real Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BSRTF Stock  USD 12.54  0.04  0.32%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BSR Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 12.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.58. BSR Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BSR Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of BSR Real's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BSR Real's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BSR Real and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BSR Real's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BSR Real Estate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using BSR Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BSR Real Estate from the perspective of BSR Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BSR Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 12.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.58.

BSR Real after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BSR Real to cross-verify your projections.

BSR Real Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BSR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BSR using various technical indicators. When you analyze BSR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for BSR Real is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BSR Real Estate value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BSR Real Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BSR Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 12.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BSR Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BSR Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BSR Real Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest BSR RealBSR Real Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

BSR Real Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BSR Real's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BSR Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.40 and 14.09, respectively. We have considered BSR Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.54
12.75
Expected Value
14.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BSR Real pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BSR Real pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5419
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0901
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0076
SAESum of the absolute errors5.585
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BSR Real Estate. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BSR Real. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BSR Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BSR Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BSR Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1912.5413.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8412.1913.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.7612.2512.74
Details

BSR Real After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BSR Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BSR Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of BSR Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BSR Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BSR Real's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BSR Real's historical news coverage. BSR Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.19 and 13.89, respectively. We have considered BSR Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.54
12.54
After-hype Price
13.89
Upside
BSR Real is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BSR Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.

BSR Real Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BSR Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BSR Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BSR Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.35
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.54
12.54
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

BSR Real Hype Timeline

BSR Real Estate is currently traded for 12.54. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BSR is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on BSR Real is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.54. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.5. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BSR Real Estate recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.73. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BSR Real to cross-verify your projections.

BSR Real Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BSR Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BSR Real's future price movements. Getting to know how BSR Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BSR Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MNARFMorguard North American 0.00 0 per month 1.14 (0.03) 2.50 (2.42) 8.25 
ARESFArtis REIT 0.00 0 per month 2.00  0.26  5.33 (2.16) 15.06 
EFRTFNexus Real Estate 0.00 0 per month 1.39  0.01  1.95 (2.52) 6.16 
INREInland Real Estateome 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.38) 0.33 (8.71) 9.05 
SBBSFSabana Shariah Compliant 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  0.00  0.00  22.34 
FESNFFirst Real Estate 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AGPYYAgile Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  52.79 
WFICFWall Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PAZRFPlaza Retail REIT 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 1.01  0.00  6.78 
YUXXFYuexiu Real Estate 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for BSR Real

For every potential investor in BSR, whether a beginner or expert, BSR Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BSR Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BSR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BSR Real's price trends.

BSR Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BSR Real pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BSR Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BSR Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BSR Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BSR Real pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BSR Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BSR Real pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify BSR Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BSR Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of BSR Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BSR Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bsr pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for BSR Real

The number of cover stories for BSR Real depends on current market conditions and BSR Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BSR Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BSR Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

BSR Real Short Properties

BSR Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when BSR Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BSR Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BSR Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BSR Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.2 M
Short Long Term Debt1.7 M

Other Information on Investing in BSR Pink Sheet

BSR Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether BSR Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BSR with respect to the benefits of owning BSR Real security.