BP Plc Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

BSU Stock  EUR 29.40  0.20  0.68%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BP plc on the next trading day is expected to be 30.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.12. BSU Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BP Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of January 2026 the value of rsi of BP Plc's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BP Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BP Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BP Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BP plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using BP Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BP plc from the perspective of BP Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BP plc on the next trading day is expected to be 30.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.12.

BP Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 29.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BP Plc to cross-verify your projections.

BP Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BSU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BSU using various technical indicators. When you analyze BSU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through BP Plc price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

BP Plc Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BP plc on the next trading day is expected to be 30.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BSU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BP Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BP Plc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BP PlcBP Plc Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

BP Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BP Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BP Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.58 and 31.97, respectively. We have considered BP Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.40
30.27
Expected Value
31.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BP Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BP Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1773
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8872
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0298
SAESum of the absolute errors54.1213
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as BP plc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for BP Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BP plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7129.4031.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.0524.7432.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BP Plc

For every potential investor in BSU, whether a beginner or expert, BP Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BSU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BSU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BP Plc's price trends.

BP Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BP Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BP Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BP Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BP plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BP Plc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BP Plc's current price.

BP Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BP Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BP Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BP Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BP plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BP Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of BP Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BP Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bsu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in BSU Stock

BP Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether BSU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BSU with respect to the benefits of owning BP Plc security.