NEOS Bitcoin Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| BTCI Etf | 44.11 0.36 0.81% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NEOS Bitcoin High on the next trading day is expected to be 44.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.00. NEOS Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NEOS Bitcoin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of NEOS Bitcoin's share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NEOS Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NEOS Bitcoin High from the perspective of NEOS Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NEOS Bitcoin using NEOS Bitcoin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NEOS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NEOS Bitcoin's stock price.
NEOS Bitcoin Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
NEOS Bitcoin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NEOS Bitcoin High stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NEOS Bitcoin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NEOS Bitcoin stock will not fluctuate a lot when NEOS Bitcoin's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NEOS Bitcoin High on the next trading day is expected to be 44.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.00. NEOS Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | USD 44.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NEOS Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NEOS contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NEOS Bitcoin High will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With NEOS Bitcoin trading at USD 44.11, that is roughly USD 0.0212 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NEOS Bitcoin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring NEOS Bitcoin High options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 NEOS Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NEOS Bitcoin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NEOS Bitcoin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NEOS Bitcoin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NEOS Bitcoin's open interest, investors have to compare it to NEOS Bitcoin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NEOS Bitcoin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NEOS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
NEOS Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NEOS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NEOS using various technical indicators. When you analyze NEOS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NEOS Bitcoin Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NEOS Bitcoin High on the next trading day is expected to be 44.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NEOS Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NEOS Bitcoin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NEOS Bitcoin Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NEOS Bitcoin | NEOS Bitcoin Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NEOS Bitcoin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NEOS Bitcoin's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NEOS Bitcoin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.56 and 46.66, respectively. We have considered NEOS Bitcoin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NEOS Bitcoin etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NEOS Bitcoin etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9411 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2625 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 59.0 |
Predictive Modules for NEOS Bitcoin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEOS Bitcoin High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NEOS Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NEOS Bitcoin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NEOS Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NEOS Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of NEOS Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NEOS Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NEOS Bitcoin's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NEOS Bitcoin's historical news coverage. NEOS Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.89 and 46.99, respectively. We have considered NEOS Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NEOS Bitcoin is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NEOS Bitcoin High is based on 3 months time horizon.
NEOS Bitcoin Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as NEOS Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NEOS Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NEOS Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.55 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
44.11 | 44.44 | 0.07 |
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NEOS Bitcoin Hype Timeline
NEOS Bitcoin High is currently traded for 44.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. NEOS is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 44.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on NEOS Bitcoin is about 1240.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.17. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NEOS Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections.NEOS Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NEOS Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NEOS Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how NEOS Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NEOS Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEHI | NEOS Ethereum High | 1.18 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.71 | (4.23) | 13.64 | |
| ETCO | Grayscale Ethereum Covered | (0.24) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.45 | (6.93) | 16.24 | |
| ETHI | Defiance Leveraged Long | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 11.41 | (13.53) | 31.01 | |
| ETTY | Amplify Ethereum 3 | 0.42 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.37 | (8.12) | 18.52 | |
| BPI | Grayscale Funds Trust | 0.26 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.52 | (4.87) | 11.35 | |
| EHY | Amplify Ethereum Max | (0.44) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.52 | (7.45) | 16.76 | |
| XRPM | Amplify ETF Trust | 0.56 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.08 | (6.44) | 20.30 | |
| GLNK | Grayscale Chainlink Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.26 | (12.03) | 44.11 | |
| YBTC | Roundhill Bitcoin Covered | 0.18 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.22 | (4.85) | 12.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for NEOS Bitcoin
For every potential investor in NEOS, whether a beginner or expert, NEOS Bitcoin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NEOS Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NEOS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NEOS Bitcoin's price trends.NEOS Bitcoin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NEOS Bitcoin etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NEOS Bitcoin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NEOS Bitcoin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NEOS Bitcoin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NEOS Bitcoin etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NEOS Bitcoin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NEOS Bitcoin etf market strength indicators, traders can identify NEOS Bitcoin High entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NEOS Bitcoin Risk Indicators
The analysis of NEOS Bitcoin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NEOS Bitcoin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neos etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.68 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NEOS Bitcoin
The number of cover stories for NEOS Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and NEOS Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NEOS Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NEOS Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NEOS Bitcoin to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
The market value of NEOS Bitcoin High is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NEOS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NEOS Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NEOS Bitcoin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NEOS Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NEOS Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NEOS Bitcoin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NEOS Bitcoin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NEOS Bitcoin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.