Baticim Bati Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BTCIM Stock  TRY 140.50  0.30  0.21%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baticim Bati Anadolu on the next trading day is expected to be 153.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 275.16. Baticim Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Baticim Bati's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Baticim Bati is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Baticim Bati Anadolu value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Baticim Bati Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Baticim Bati Anadolu on the next trading day is expected to be 153.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.51, mean absolute percentage error of 32.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 275.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baticim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baticim Bati's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baticim Bati Stock Forecast Pattern

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Baticim Bati Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baticim Bati's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baticim Bati's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 150.33 and 156.43, respectively. We have considered Baticim Bati's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
140.50
150.33
Downside
153.38
Expected Value
156.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baticim Bati stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baticim Bati stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.6003
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.5108
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0274
SAESum of the absolute errors275.158
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Baticim Bati Anadolu. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Baticim Bati. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Baticim Bati

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baticim Bati Anadolu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
137.45140.50143.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.11138.16141.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Baticim Bati

For every potential investor in Baticim, whether a beginner or expert, Baticim Bati's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baticim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baticim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baticim Bati's price trends.

Baticim Bati Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baticim Bati stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baticim Bati could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baticim Bati by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baticim Bati Anadolu Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Baticim Bati's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Baticim Bati's current price.

Baticim Bati Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baticim Bati stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baticim Bati shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baticim Bati stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baticim Bati Anadolu entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baticim Bati Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baticim Bati's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baticim Bati's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baticim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Baticim Stock

Baticim Bati financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baticim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baticim with respect to the benefits of owning Baticim Bati security.