Goobit Group Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BTCX Stock  SEK 0.14  0.01  6.67%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goobit Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.40. Goobit Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Goobit Group - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Goobit Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Goobit Group price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Goobit Group AB.

Goobit Group Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goobit Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goobit Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goobit Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Goobit Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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Goobit Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Goobit Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goobit Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.58, respectively. We have considered Goobit Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.14
0.14
Expected Value
5.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goobit Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goobit Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0068
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0425
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3985
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Goobit Group observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Goobit Group AB observations.

Predictive Modules for Goobit Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goobit Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.145.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.125.56
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Goobit Group

For every potential investor in Goobit, whether a beginner or expert, Goobit Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goobit Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goobit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goobit Group's price trends.

Goobit Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goobit Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goobit Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goobit Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Goobit Group AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Goobit Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Goobit Group's current price.

Goobit Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goobit Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goobit Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goobit Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Goobit Group AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Goobit Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Goobit Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goobit Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goobit stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Goobit Stock Analysis

When running Goobit Group's price analysis, check to measure Goobit Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goobit Group is operating at the current time. Most of Goobit Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goobit Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goobit Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goobit Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.