Barratt Developments Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

BTDPY Stock  USD 10.51  0.25  2.32%   
Barratt Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Barratt Developments' share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Barratt Developments' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Barratt Developments PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Barratt Developments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barratt Developments PLC from the perspective of Barratt Developments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Barratt Developments PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 10.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.33.

Barratt Developments after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barratt Developments to cross-verify your projections.

Barratt Developments Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Barratt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barratt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barratt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Barratt Developments price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Barratt Developments Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Barratt Developments PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 10.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Barratt Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Barratt Developments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Barratt Developments Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Barratt Developments  Barratt Developments Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Barratt Developments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Barratt Developments' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Barratt Developments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.76 and 12.62, respectively. We have considered Barratt Developments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.51
10.69
Expected Value
12.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Barratt Developments pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Barratt Developments pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3561
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2149
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors13.3261
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Barratt Developments PLC historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Barratt Developments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barratt Developments PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8510.7612.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.6610.5712.48
Details

Barratt Developments After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Barratt Developments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barratt Developments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Barratt Developments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Barratt Developments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Barratt Developments' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barratt Developments' historical news coverage. Barratt Developments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.85 and 12.67, respectively. We have considered Barratt Developments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.51
10.76
After-hype Price
12.67
Upside
Barratt Developments is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barratt Developments PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Barratt Developments Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Barratt Developments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barratt Developments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barratt Developments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.93
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.51
10.76
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Barratt Developments Hype Timeline

Barratt Developments PLC is currently traded for 10.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Barratt is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Barratt Developments is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.51. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Barratt Developments PLC last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barratt Developments to cross-verify your projections.

Barratt Developments Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Barratt Developments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barratt Developments' future price movements. Getting to know how Barratt Developments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barratt Developments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BLWYYBellway PLC ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.00  0.00  4.12 
BLWYFBellway plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26) 0.00  0.00  2.78 
VLEEYValeo SA ADR 0.00 0 per month 3.04  0.02  4.40 (3.60) 16.86 
MMTOFMitsubishi Motors Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.84) 6.11 
IHCPFInchcape plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.00  0.00  6.23 
GMALFGenting Malaysia Berhad 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 0.00  0.00  13.56 
JTEKYJTEKT Corp ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  43.57 
HOYFFHuhtamki Oyj 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 0.00  0.00  7.09 
TGNOFTrigano SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.00  0.00  10.33 
ZSHGYZhongsheng Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 4.43  0.02  9.44 (10.19) 40.90 

Other Forecasting Options for Barratt Developments

For every potential investor in Barratt, whether a beginner or expert, Barratt Developments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Barratt Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Barratt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Barratt Developments' price trends.

Barratt Developments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Barratt Developments pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Barratt Developments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Barratt Developments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Barratt Developments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Barratt Developments pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Barratt Developments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Barratt Developments pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Barratt Developments PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Barratt Developments Risk Indicators

The analysis of Barratt Developments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Barratt Developments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting barratt pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Barratt Developments

The number of cover stories for Barratt Developments depends on current market conditions and Barratt Developments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barratt Developments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barratt Developments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Barratt Developments Short Properties

Barratt Developments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Barratt Developments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Barratt Developments PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Barratt Developments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barratt Developments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding506.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Additional Tools for Barratt Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Barratt Developments' price analysis, check to measure Barratt Developments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barratt Developments is operating at the current time. Most of Barratt Developments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barratt Developments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barratt Developments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barratt Developments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.