Valkyrie Funds Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BTFX Etf | 33.71 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Valkyrie Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 37.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 151.50. Valkyrie Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Valkyrie Funds' share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Valkyrie Funds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Valkyrie Funds from the perspective of Valkyrie Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Valkyrie Funds using Valkyrie Funds' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Valkyrie using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Valkyrie Funds' stock price.
Valkyrie Funds Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Valkyrie Funds' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Valkyrie Funds stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Valkyrie Funds' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Valkyrie Funds stock will not fluctuate a lot when Valkyrie Funds' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Valkyrie Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 37.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 151.50. Valkyrie Funds after-hype prediction price | $ 31.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Valkyrie contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Valkyrie Funds will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Valkyrie Funds trading at $ 33.71, that is roughly $ 0.0221 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Valkyrie Funds' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Valkyrie Funds options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Valkyrie Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Valkyrie Funds' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Valkyrie Funds' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Valkyrie Funds stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Valkyrie Funds' open interest, investors have to compare it to Valkyrie Funds' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Valkyrie Funds is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Valkyrie. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Valkyrie Funds Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Valkyrie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valkyrie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Valkyrie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Valkyrie Funds Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Valkyrie Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 37.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.48, mean absolute percentage error of 9.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 151.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Valkyrie Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Valkyrie Funds' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Valkyrie Funds Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Valkyrie Funds | Valkyrie Funds Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Valkyrie Funds etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Valkyrie Funds etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.3496 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4836 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0561 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 151.5015 |
Predictive Modules for Valkyrie Funds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valkyrie Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Valkyrie Funds After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Valkyrie Funds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Valkyrie Funds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Valkyrie Funds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Valkyrie Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Valkyrie Funds' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Valkyrie Funds' historical news coverage. Valkyrie Funds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.85 and 37.51, respectively. We have considered Valkyrie Funds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Valkyrie Funds is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Valkyrie Funds is based on 3 months time horizon.
Valkyrie Funds Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Valkyrie Funds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valkyrie Funds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Valkyrie Funds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.12 | 5.83 | 2.03 | 0.19 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.71 | 31.68 | 6.02 |
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Valkyrie Funds Hype Timeline
Valkyrie Funds is currently traded for 33.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Valkyrie is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.12%. The volatility of related hype on Valkyrie Funds is about 3491.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.90. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.Valkyrie Funds Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Valkyrie Funds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Valkyrie Funds' future price movements. Getting to know how Valkyrie Funds' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Valkyrie Funds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DECO | SPDR Galaxy Digital | (0.26) | 2 per month | 2.83 | (0.02) | 4.70 | (4.60) | 12.96 | |
| DWSH | AdvisorShares Dorsey Wright | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.98 | (2.51) | 5.77 | |
| EDZ | Direxion Daily MSCI | (0.50) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.58 | (3.94) | 13.43 | |
| CANE | Teucrium Sugar | 20.94 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.46 | (2.31) | 5.15 | |
| MBSX | Advisor Managed Portfolios | 0.23 | 1 per month | 1.57 | (0.02) | 2.52 | (2.86) | 16.13 | |
| ZVOL | ZVOL | (0.06) | 1 per month | 0.89 | 0.03 | 2.02 | (1.39) | 4.79 | |
| FPRO | Fidelity Real Estate | 20.74 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.20 | (1.42) | 3.43 | |
| ASMG | Leverage Shares 2X | 1.45 | 1 per month | 4.17 | 0.16 | 10.51 | (6.72) | 22.74 | |
| ADIV | SmartETFs Asia Pacific | 0.81 | 1 per month | 0.62 | (0.07) | 1.20 | (1.02) | 2.59 | |
| PSCU | Invesco SP SmallCap | (41.61) | 1 per month | 0.89 | (0.07) | 1.51 | (1.69) | 4.07 |
Valkyrie Funds Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Valkyrie Funds etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Valkyrie Funds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valkyrie Funds by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Valkyrie Funds Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Valkyrie Funds etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Valkyrie Funds shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Valkyrie Funds etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Valkyrie Funds entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Valkyrie Funds Risk Indicators
The analysis of Valkyrie Funds' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Valkyrie Funds' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting valkyrie etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.47 | |||
| Variance | 29.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Valkyrie Funds
The number of cover stories for Valkyrie Funds depends on current market conditions and Valkyrie Funds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Valkyrie Funds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Valkyrie Funds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
The market value of Valkyrie Funds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valkyrie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valkyrie Funds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valkyrie Funds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valkyrie Funds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valkyrie Funds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valkyrie Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valkyrie Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valkyrie Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.