Burstone Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BTN Stock | 923.00 2.00 0.22% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Burstone Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Burstone Group Limited from the perspective of Burstone Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Burstone Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 883.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 808.44. Burstone Group after-hype prediction price | ZAC 923.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Burstone |
Burstone Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Burstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Burstone Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Burstone Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 883.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.04, mean absolute percentage error of 288.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 808.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Burstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Burstone Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Burstone Group Stock Forecast Pattern
Burstone Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Burstone Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Burstone Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 882.24 and 884.45, respectively. We have considered Burstone Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Burstone Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Burstone Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.6132 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 13.0394 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 808.4414 |
Predictive Modules for Burstone Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burstone Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Burstone Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Burstone Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Burstone Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Burstone Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Burstone Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Burstone Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burstone Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Burstone Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
923.00 | 923.00 | 0.00 |
|
Burstone Group Hype Timeline
Burstone Group is currently traded for 923.00on Johannesburg Exchange of South Africa. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Burstone is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Burstone Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 923.00. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.Burstone Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Burstone Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Burstone Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Burstone Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Burstone Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RCL | RCL Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.30 | (0.03) | 3.29 | (2.77) | 14.61 | |
| EMH | E Media Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.69 | (0) | 6.05 | (6.67) | 16.87 | |
| KIO | Kumba Iron Ore | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.09 | 3.02 | (2.63) | 8.30 | |
| HCI | Hosken Consolidated Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.1 | 5.60 | (3.60) | 11.93 | |
| ARL | Astral Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.16 | 3.33 | (2.36) | 9.86 | |
| BRT | Brimstone Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 5.80 | (2.60) | 26.28 | |
| FTH | Frontier Transport Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.64 | (5.80) | 16.34 | |
| AEL | Allied Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | 0.02 | 2.29 | (1.90) | 9.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Burstone Group
For every potential investor in Burstone, whether a beginner or expert, Burstone Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Burstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Burstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Burstone Group's price trends.Burstone Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Burstone Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Burstone Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burstone Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Burstone Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Burstone Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Burstone Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Burstone Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Burstone Group Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5362.56 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.18) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 924.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 924.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.93 |
Burstone Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Burstone Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Burstone Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting burstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8172 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Burstone Group
The number of cover stories for Burstone Group depends on current market conditions and Burstone Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Burstone Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Burstone Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios