Bit Origin Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BTOG Stock | USD 1.36 0.14 9.33% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bit Origin on the next trading day is expected to be 0.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.22. Bit Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bit Origin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Bit |
Bit Origin Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Bit Origin's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2017-06-30 | Previous Quarter 6.9 M | Current Value 6.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 2.5 M |
Bit Origin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bit Origin on the next trading day is expected to be 0.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bit Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bit Origin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bit Origin Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bit Origin | Bit Origin Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Bit Origin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bit Origin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bit Origin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.67, respectively. We have considered Bit Origin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bit Origin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bit Origin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7586 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1488 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0729 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.2228 |
Predictive Modules for Bit Origin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bit Origin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Bit Origin
For every potential investor in Bit, whether a beginner or expert, Bit Origin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bit Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bit Origin's price trends.Bit Origin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bit Origin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bit Origin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bit Origin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bit Origin Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bit Origin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bit Origin's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Bit Origin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bit Origin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bit Origin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bit Origin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bit Origin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 36220.39 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.39) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.14) |
Bit Origin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bit Origin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bit Origin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bit stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.49 | |||
| Variance | 42.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Bit Origin is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bit Origin's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bit Origin's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bit Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bit Origin to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Bit Stock please use our How to Invest in Bit Origin guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bit Origin. If investors know Bit will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bit Origin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (9.28) | Revenue Per Share 2.052 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.402 | Return On Assets (0.35) | Return On Equity (1.46) |
The market value of Bit Origin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bit that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bit Origin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bit Origin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bit Origin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bit Origin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bit Origin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bit Origin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bit Origin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.