Bucher Industries Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BUCN Stock | CHF 384.50 1.50 0.39% |
Bucher Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Bucher Industries' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 20.6274 | EPS Estimate Next Year 22.0305 | Wall Street Target Price 418.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Using Bucher Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bucher Industries AG from the perspective of Bucher Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bucher Industries AG on the next trading day is expected to be 384.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.75. Bucher Industries after-hype prediction price | CHF 384.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bucher |
Bucher Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bucher price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bucher using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bucher charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bucher Industries Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bucher Industries AG on the next trading day is expected to be 384.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.01, mean absolute percentage error of 16.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 180.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bucher Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bucher Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bucher Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bucher Industries | Bucher Industries Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bucher Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bucher Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bucher Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 383.43 and 385.57, respectively. We have considered Bucher Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bucher Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bucher Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0942 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.9708 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0083 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 180.75 |
Predictive Modules for Bucher Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bucher Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bucher Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bucher Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bucher Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bucher Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bucher Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bucher Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bucher Industries' historical news coverage. Bucher Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 383.61 and 385.75, respectively. We have considered Bucher Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bucher Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bucher Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bucher Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bucher Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bucher Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bucher Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.07 | 0.18 | 0.55 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
384.50 | 384.68 | 0.05 |
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Bucher Industries Hype Timeline
Bucher Industries is currently traded for 384.50on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.55. Bucher is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 384.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 107.0%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Bucher Industries is about 35.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 385.05. The company reported the revenue of 3.16 B. Net Income was 226.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.49 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bucher Industries to cross-verify your projections.Bucher Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bucher Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bucher Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Bucher Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bucher Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DKSH | DKSH Holding AG | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.13 | 2.48 | (1.85) | 5.13 | |
| SUN | Sulzer AG | 13.20 | 2 per month | 1.07 | 0.23 | 3.10 | (2.27) | 12.49 | |
| ADEN | Adecco Group AG | (0.46) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.98 | (4.23) | 13.82 | |
| GF | Georg Fischer AG | (0.70) | 5 per month | 1.25 | (0) | 2.24 | (1.98) | 7.18 | |
| SFSN | SFS Group AG | 3.80 | 5 per month | 1.02 | 0.15 | 2.28 | (2.04) | 8.06 | |
| BCHN | Burckhardt Compression | 5.00 | 6 per month | 0.94 | 0.1 | 2.44 | (1.99) | 6.35 | |
| KARN | Kardex | (4.50) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.71 | (1.80) | 10.04 | |
| INRN | Interroll Holding AG | 15.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.50 | (3.37) | 12.83 | |
| DOKA | Dorma Kaba Holding | (0.70) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.87 | (2.21) | 7.02 | |
| OERL | OC Oerlikon Corp | (0.06) | 3 per month | 1.40 | 0.18 | 2.72 | (2.48) | 8.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bucher Industries
For every potential investor in Bucher, whether a beginner or expert, Bucher Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bucher Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bucher. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bucher Industries' price trends.Bucher Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bucher Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bucher Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bucher Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bucher Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bucher Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bucher Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bucher Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bucher Industries AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 158.3 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 384.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 384.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.50) |
Bucher Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bucher Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bucher Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bucher stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7519 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bucher Industries
The number of cover stories for Bucher Industries depends on current market conditions and Bucher Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bucher Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bucher Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bucher Industries Short Properties
Bucher Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bucher Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bucher Industries AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bucher Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bucher Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 432.7 M |
Additional Tools for Bucher Stock Analysis
When running Bucher Industries' price analysis, check to measure Bucher Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bucher Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Bucher Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bucher Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bucher Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bucher Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.