Webull Corp Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

BULL Stock   8.39  0.02  0.24%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Webull Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.52. Webull Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Webull Corp works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Webull Corp Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Webull Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 8.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Webull Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Webull Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Webull Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Webull Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Webull Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Webull Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.89 and 11.77, respectively. We have considered Webull Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.39
8.33
Expected Value
11.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Webull Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Webull Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0328
MADMean absolute deviation0.314
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.031
SAESum of the absolute errors18.5248
When Webull Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Webull Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Webull Corp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Webull Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Webull Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.028.4611.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.197.6311.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Webull Corp

For every potential investor in Webull, whether a beginner or expert, Webull Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Webull Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Webull. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Webull Corp's price trends.

Webull Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Webull Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Webull Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Webull Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Webull Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Webull Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Webull Corp's current price.

Webull Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Webull Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Webull Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Webull Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Webull Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Webull Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Webull Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Webull Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting webull stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Webull Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Webull Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Webull Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Webull Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Webull Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Webull Stock please use our How to buy in Webull Stock guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Webull Corp. If investors know Webull will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Webull Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Webull Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Webull that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Webull Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Webull Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Webull Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Webull Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Webull Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Webull Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Webull Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.