Batm Advanced Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BVC Stock | 15.48 0.50 3.13% |
Batm Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Batm Advanced stock prices and determine the direction of Batm Advanced Communications's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Batm Advanced's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Batm Advanced's share price is approaching 42 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Batm Advanced, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0045 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0049 | Wall Street Target Price 0.31 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 |
Using Batm Advanced hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Batm Advanced Communications from the perspective of Batm Advanced response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Batm Advanced Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.98. Batm Advanced after-hype prediction price | GBX 15.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Batm |
Batm Advanced Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Batm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Batm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Batm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Batm Advanced Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Batm Advanced Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Batm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Batm Advanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Batm Advanced Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Batm Advanced | Batm Advanced Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Batm Advanced Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Batm Advanced's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Batm Advanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.80 and 18.16, respectively. We have considered Batm Advanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Batm Advanced stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Batm Advanced stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7071 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0387 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3497 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.98 |
Predictive Modules for Batm Advanced
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Batm Advanced Commun. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Batm Advanced After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Batm Advanced at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Batm Advanced or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Batm Advanced, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Batm Advanced Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Batm Advanced's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Batm Advanced's historical news coverage. Batm Advanced's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.29 and 18.65, respectively. We have considered Batm Advanced's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Batm Advanced is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Batm Advanced Commun is based on 3 months time horizon.
Batm Advanced Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Batm Advanced is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Batm Advanced backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Batm Advanced, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.68 | 0.01 | 0.35 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.48 | 15.97 | 0.06 |
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Batm Advanced Hype Timeline
Batm Advanced Commun is currently traded for 15.48on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. Batm is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Batm Advanced is about 76.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.83. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Batm Advanced Commun recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2021. The firm had 10:1 split on the 3rd of July 2000. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Batm Advanced to cross-verify your projections.Batm Advanced Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Batm Advanced's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Batm Advanced's future price movements. Getting to know how Batm Advanced's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Batm Advanced may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0HW4 | Charter Communications Cl | 2.48 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.15 | (3.82) | 8.12 | |
| ZEG | Zegona Communications Plc | 17.67 | 8 per month | 1.55 | 0.22 | 5.42 | (3.23) | 12.57 | |
| 0KYZ | SBA Communications | 2.03 | 4 per month | 1.33 | (0.02) | 2.56 | (3.02) | 6.61 | |
| CNC | Concurrent Technologies Plc | 9.00 | 6 per month | 1.35 | 0.06 | 4.09 | (2.94) | 12.76 | |
| 0L3H | L3Harris Technologies | (6.20) | 4 per month | 1.02 | 0.14 | 2.81 | (2.06) | 8.52 | |
| 0HCK | Align Technology | (4.06) | 3 per month | 1.45 | 0.13 | 3.63 | (2.69) | 8.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for Batm Advanced
For every potential investor in Batm, whether a beginner or expert, Batm Advanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Batm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Batm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Batm Advanced's price trends.Batm Advanced Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Batm Advanced stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Batm Advanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Batm Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Batm Advanced Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Batm Advanced stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Batm Advanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Batm Advanced stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Batm Advanced Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14844.25 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.48 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.33 |
Batm Advanced Risk Indicators
The analysis of Batm Advanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Batm Advanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting batm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Variance | 7.01 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Batm Advanced
The number of cover stories for Batm Advanced depends on current market conditions and Batm Advanced's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Batm Advanced is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Batm Advanced's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Batm Advanced Short Properties
Batm Advanced's future price predictability will typically decrease when Batm Advanced's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Batm Advanced Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Batm Advanced's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Batm Advanced's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 437 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Batm Stock
Batm Advanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Batm Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Batm with respect to the benefits of owning Batm Advanced security.