Beaver Coal Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| BVERS Stock | USD 2,770 5.00 0.18% |
Beaver Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Beaver Coal's share price is at 51 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Beaver Coal, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Beaver Coal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beaver Coal Co from the perspective of Beaver Coal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beaver Coal Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2,775 with a mean absolute deviation of 93.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,489. Beaver Coal after-hype prediction price | USD 2770.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Beaver |
Beaver Coal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Beaver price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beaver using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beaver charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Beaver Coal Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beaver Coal Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2,775 with a mean absolute deviation of 93.03, mean absolute percentage error of 20,638, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,489.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beaver Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beaver Coal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Beaver Coal Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Beaver Coal | Beaver Coal Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Beaver Coal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Beaver Coal's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beaver Coal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,770 and 2,780, respectively. We have considered Beaver Coal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beaver Coal pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beaver Coal pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -18.3921 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 93.0258 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0353 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5488.5223 |
Predictive Modules for Beaver Coal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beaver Coal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Beaver Coal After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Beaver Coal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beaver Coal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Beaver Coal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Beaver Coal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Beaver Coal's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Beaver Coal's historical news coverage. Beaver Coal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,765 and 2,775, respectively. We have considered Beaver Coal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Beaver Coal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Beaver Coal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Beaver Coal Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beaver Coal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beaver Coal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beaver Coal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 4.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2,770 | 2,770 | 0.00 |
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Beaver Coal Hype Timeline
Beaver Coal is currently traded for 2,770. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Beaver is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Beaver Coal is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,770. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beaver Coal to cross-verify your projections.Beaver Coal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Beaver Coal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beaver Coal's future price movements. Getting to know how Beaver Coal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beaver Coal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPTP | Capital Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.61 | 0.05 | 4.35 | (1.65) | 30.71 | |
| MHIVF | Invesque | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.66 | 0.02 | 23.08 | (18.75) | 75.87 | |
| LVSDF | Lai Sun Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KANP | Kaanapali Land LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.69 | (6.08) | 18.32 | |
| MRTI | Maxus Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.92 | 0.11 | 12.36 | (8.20) | 40.37 | |
| DOLHF | Dolphin Capital Investors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.63 | |
| GCCO | Garden City Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03 | |
| OJOC | Ojai Oil Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.30 | 0.00 | 3.44 | |
| LPMDF | Lippo Malls Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | |
| BREUF | Bridgemarq Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.06 | 2.62 | (2.81) | 8.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Beaver Coal
For every potential investor in Beaver, whether a beginner or expert, Beaver Coal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beaver Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beaver. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beaver Coal's price trends.Beaver Coal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beaver Coal pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beaver Coal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beaver Coal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Beaver Coal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beaver Coal pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beaver Coal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beaver Coal pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Beaver Coal Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2770.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2770.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.19 |
Beaver Coal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Beaver Coal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beaver Coal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beaver pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Variance | 19.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 34.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Beaver Coal
The number of cover stories for Beaver Coal depends on current market conditions and Beaver Coal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beaver Coal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beaver Coal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Beaver Coal Short Properties
Beaver Coal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Beaver Coal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Beaver Coal Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Beaver Coal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beaver Coal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.125 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 400 |
Additional Tools for Beaver Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Beaver Coal's price analysis, check to measure Beaver Coal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Beaver Coal is operating at the current time. Most of Beaver Coal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Beaver Coal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Beaver Coal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Beaver Coal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.