Broadwind Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

BWEN Stock  USD 3.00  0.12  3.85%   
Broadwind Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Broadwind Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Broadwind Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Broadwind Energy fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Broadwind Energy's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Broadwind Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Broadwind Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Broadwind Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Broadwind Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
16.667
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.02
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.25
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.17
Wall Street Target Price
4.3333
Using Broadwind Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Broadwind Energy from the perspective of Broadwind Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Broadwind Energy using Broadwind Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Broadwind using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Broadwind Energy's stock price.

Broadwind Energy Implied Volatility

    
  1.06  
Broadwind Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Broadwind Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Broadwind Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Broadwind Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Broadwind Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Broadwind Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.63.

Broadwind Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Broadwind Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Broadwind Stock, please use our How to Invest in Broadwind Energy guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Broadwind Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Broadwind Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Broadwind Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Broadwind Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Broadwind Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Broadwind Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Broadwind Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Broadwind. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Broadwind Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Broadwind price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Broadwind using various technical indicators. When you analyze Broadwind charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Broadwind Energy is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Broadwind Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Broadwind Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Broadwind Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Broadwind Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Broadwind Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Broadwind Energy  Broadwind Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Broadwind Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Broadwind Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Broadwind Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.95, respectively. We have considered Broadwind Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.00
3.00
Expected Value
8.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Broadwind Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Broadwind Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.208
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0219
MADMean absolute deviation0.1631
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0529
SAESum of the absolute errors9.625
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Broadwind Energy price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Broadwind Energy. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Broadwind Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Broadwind Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Broadwind Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.009.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.153.009.00
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.944.334.81
Details

Broadwind Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Broadwind Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Broadwind Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Broadwind Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Broadwind Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Broadwind Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Broadwind Energy's historical news coverage. Broadwind Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 9.00, respectively. We have considered Broadwind Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.00
3.00
After-hype Price
9.00
Upside
Broadwind Energy is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Broadwind Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Broadwind Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Broadwind Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Broadwind Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Broadwind Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.75 
5.95
  0.06 
  0.08 
16 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 16 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.00
3.00
0.00 
7,438  
Notes

Broadwind Energy Hype Timeline

Broadwind Energy is currently traded for 3.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Broadwind is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on Broadwind Energy is about 5409.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.08. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Broadwind Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 23rd of August 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 16 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Broadwind Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Broadwind Stock, please use our How to Invest in Broadwind Energy guide.

Broadwind Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Broadwind Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Broadwind Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Broadwind Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Broadwind Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LASELaser Photonics 0.21 10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 7.83 (10.57) 32.49 
PPSIPioneer Power Solutions 0.03 3 per month 4.40 (0.0005) 8.30 (7.51) 21.83 
GWHESS Tech 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.19) 6.22 (9.24) 61.03 
PMECPrimech Holdings Ltd 0.08 8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 6.86 (9.79) 27.96 
HTLMHomesToLife(0.08)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 9.50 (9.35) 26.61 
DPRODraganfly 0.39 9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 13.03 (10.22) 37.73 
SIFSIFCO Industries(0.31)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.96 (5.38) 19.66 
TPCSTechPrecision Common(0.19)34 per month 3.11 (0) 6.40 (5.35) 16.72 
MESAMesa Air Group 0.90 7 per month 3.05  0.08  6.11 (5.56) 16.91 
MPUMega Matrix Corp 0.05 5 per month 0.00 (0.11) 7.20 (12.61) 44.14 

Other Forecasting Options for Broadwind Energy

For every potential investor in Broadwind, whether a beginner or expert, Broadwind Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Broadwind Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Broadwind. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Broadwind Energy's price trends.

Broadwind Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Broadwind Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Broadwind Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Broadwind Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Broadwind Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Broadwind Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Broadwind Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Broadwind Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Broadwind Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Broadwind Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Broadwind Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Broadwind Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting broadwind stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Broadwind Energy

The number of cover stories for Broadwind Energy depends on current market conditions and Broadwind Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Broadwind Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Broadwind Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Broadwind Energy Short Properties

Broadwind Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Broadwind Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Broadwind Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Broadwind Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Broadwind Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.7 M
When determining whether Broadwind Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Broadwind Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Broadwind Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Broadwind Energy Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Broadwind Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Broadwind Stock, please use our How to Invest in Broadwind Energy guide.
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Will Heavy Electrical Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Broadwind diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Broadwind Energy. Projected growth potential of Broadwind fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Broadwind Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
16.667
Earnings Share
0.23
Revenue Per Share
6.807
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.35)
Return On Assets
0.0012
Investors evaluate Broadwind Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Broadwind Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Broadwind Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Broadwind Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Broadwind Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Broadwind Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.