BELL FOOD Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BWGA Stock | EUR 234.00 3.00 1.27% |
BELL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of BELL FOOD's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of BELL FOOD's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BELL FOOD, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
Using BELL FOOD hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BELL FOOD GRP from the perspective of BELL FOOD response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BELL FOOD GRP on the next trading day is expected to be 236.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 123.83. BELL FOOD after-hype prediction price | EUR 234.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BELL |
BELL FOOD Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BELL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BELL using various technical indicators. When you analyze BELL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BELL FOOD Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BELL FOOD GRP on the next trading day is expected to be 236.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06, mean absolute percentage error of 7.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 123.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BELL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BELL FOOD's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BELL FOOD Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BELL FOOD | BELL FOOD Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
BELL FOOD Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BELL FOOD's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BELL FOOD's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 235.42 and 238.22, respectively. We have considered BELL FOOD's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BELL FOOD stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BELL FOOD stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3181 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0588 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0638 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0087 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 123.8273 |
Predictive Modules for BELL FOOD
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BELL FOOD GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BELL FOOD After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BELL FOOD at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BELL FOOD or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BELL FOOD, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BELL FOOD Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BELL FOOD's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BELL FOOD's historical news coverage. BELL FOOD's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 232.62 and 235.42, respectively. We have considered BELL FOOD's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BELL FOOD is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BELL FOOD GRP is based on 3 months time horizon.
BELL FOOD Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BELL FOOD is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BELL FOOD backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BELL FOOD, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.40 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
234.00 | 234.02 | 0.01 |
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BELL FOOD Hype Timeline
BELL FOOD GRP is currently traded for 234.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. BELL is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 234.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 140.0%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on BELL FOOD is about 130.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 233.98. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BELL FOOD to cross-verify your projections.BELL FOOD Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BELL FOOD's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BELL FOOD's future price movements. Getting to know how BELL FOOD's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BELL FOOD may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CS2 | Caseys General Stores | (6.00) | 10 per month | 1.44 | 0.11 | 3.83 | (2.87) | 11.15 | |
| AVK1 | AEON STORES | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.50) | 0.00 | (0.90) | 1.75 | |
| HCM | Hitachi Construction Machinery | 0.20 | 5 per month | 2.52 | (0) | 3.65 | (3.17) | 11.59 | |
| 8BJ | BJs Wholesale Club | 2.00 | 8 per month | 1.71 | (0.01) | 3.21 | (3.18) | 8.17 | |
| 3TY | Titan Machinery | 0.50 | 3 per month | 2.15 | 0.01 | 5.34 | (3.61) | 24.14 | |
| FR70 | FAST RETAIL ADR | 0.00 | 4 per month | 1.77 | 0.02 | 3.21 | (2.55) | 10.12 | |
| FR7 | Fast Retailing Co | (4.20) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.09 | (2.26) | 8.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for BELL FOOD
For every potential investor in BELL, whether a beginner or expert, BELL FOOD's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BELL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BELL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BELL FOOD's price trends.BELL FOOD Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BELL FOOD stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BELL FOOD could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BELL FOOD by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BELL FOOD Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BELL FOOD stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BELL FOOD shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BELL FOOD stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BELL FOOD GRP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 234.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 234.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.89 |
BELL FOOD Risk Indicators
The analysis of BELL FOOD's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BELL FOOD's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.99 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BELL FOOD
The number of cover stories for BELL FOOD depends on current market conditions and BELL FOOD's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BELL FOOD is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BELL FOOD's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in BELL Stock
BELL FOOD financial ratios help investors to determine whether BELL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BELL with respect to the benefits of owning BELL FOOD security.