Bowman Consulting Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| BWMN Stock | USD 35.65 0.12 0.34% |
Bowman Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Bowman Consulting's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bowman Consulting hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bowman Consulting Group from the perspective of Bowman Consulting response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bowman Consulting Group on the next trading day is expected to be 34.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.26. Bowman Consulting after-hype prediction price | USD 35.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bowman Consulting to cross-verify your projections. Bowman Consulting Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bowman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bowman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bowman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bowman Consulting Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Bowman Consulting Group on the next trading day is expected to be 34.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bowman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bowman Consulting's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bowman Consulting Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bowman Consulting | Bowman Consulting Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bowman Consulting Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bowman Consulting's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bowman Consulting's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.37 and 37.13, respectively. We have considered Bowman Consulting's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bowman Consulting stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bowman Consulting stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1176 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8566 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0247 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.2554 |
Predictive Modules for Bowman Consulting
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bowman Consulting. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bowman Consulting After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bowman Consulting at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bowman Consulting or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bowman Consulting, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bowman Consulting Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bowman Consulting's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bowman Consulting's historical news coverage. Bowman Consulting's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.50 and 38.26, respectively. We have considered Bowman Consulting's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bowman Consulting is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bowman Consulting is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bowman Consulting Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bowman Consulting is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bowman Consulting backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bowman Consulting, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.65 | 35.88 | 0.14 |
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Bowman Consulting Hype Timeline
Bowman Consulting is currently traded for 35.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bowman is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Bowman Consulting is about 39666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.65. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Bowman Consulting was currently reported as 15.09. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 141.52. Bowman Consulting had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bowman Consulting to cross-verify your projections.Bowman Consulting Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bowman Consulting's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bowman Consulting's future price movements. Getting to know how Bowman Consulting's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bowman Consulting may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLDD | Great Lakes Dredge | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.12 | 3.11 | (3.10) | 16.08 | |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.87 | 0.11 | 4.38 | (2.47) | 17.55 | |
| KE | Kimball Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.71 | (4.20) | 28.61 | |
| NAT | Nordic American Tankers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.13 | 2.79 | (2.03) | 10.94 | |
| SKYH | Sky Harbour Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.83 | (3.65) | 12.01 | |
| GNK | Genco Shipping Trading | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.13 | 3.45 | (2.67) | 13.08 | |
| TH | Target Hospitality Corp | 0.06 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.01 | (3.52) | 20.01 | |
| CRESY | Cresud SACIF y | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.08 | 4.73 | (3.10) | 13.61 | |
| VLRS | Volaris | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | 0.21 | 6.68 | (2.71) | 19.39 | |
| NPK | National Presto Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.22 | 3.03 | (2.20) | 8.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bowman Consulting
For every potential investor in Bowman, whether a beginner or expert, Bowman Consulting's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bowman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bowman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bowman Consulting's price trends.Bowman Consulting Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bowman Consulting stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bowman Consulting could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bowman Consulting by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bowman Consulting Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bowman Consulting stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bowman Consulting shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bowman Consulting stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bowman Consulting Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1821.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.12) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 36.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.44) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
Bowman Consulting Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bowman Consulting's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bowman Consulting's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bowman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Variance | 5.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bowman Consulting
The number of cover stories for Bowman Consulting depends on current market conditions and Bowman Consulting's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bowman Consulting is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bowman Consulting's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bowman Consulting Short Properties
Bowman Consulting's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bowman Consulting's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bowman Consulting Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bowman Consulting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bowman Consulting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bowman Consulting to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could Bowman diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bowman Consulting. Projected growth potential of Bowman fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bowman Consulting data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Bowman Consulting's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Bowman's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Bowman Consulting's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Bowman Consulting's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Bowman Consulting's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bowman Consulting should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Bowman Consulting's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.