Betterware Stock Forward View
| BWMX Stock | USD 17.97 0.29 1.64% |
Betterware Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Betterware's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.077 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 13.79 | EPS Estimate Current Year 31.4 | EPS Estimate Next Year 45.2 | Wall Street Target Price 23.7289 |
Using Betterware hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Betterware de Mxico from the perspective of Betterware response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Betterware using Betterware's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Betterware using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Betterware's stock price.
Betterware Implied Volatility | 1.32 |
Betterware's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Betterware de Mxico stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Betterware's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Betterware stock will not fluctuate a lot when Betterware's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Betterware de Mxico on the next trading day is expected to be 16.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.53. Betterware after-hype prediction price | USD 18.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Betterware | Build AI portfolio with Betterware Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Betterware contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Betterware de Mxico will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0825% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Betterware trading at USD 17.97, that is roughly USD 0.0148 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Betterware's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Betterware de Mxico options at the current volatility level of 1.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Betterware Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Betterware's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Betterware's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Betterware stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Betterware's open interest, investors have to compare it to Betterware's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Betterware is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Betterware. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Betterware Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Betterware price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Betterware using various technical indicators. When you analyze Betterware charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Betterware's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-03-31 | Previous Quarter 391.8 M | Current Value 333.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 347.4 M |
Betterware Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Betterware de Mxico on the next trading day is expected to be 16.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Betterware Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Betterware's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Betterware Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Betterware | Betterware Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Betterware Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Betterware's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Betterware's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.80 and 19.32, respectively. We have considered Betterware's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Betterware stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Betterware stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7162 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4022 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0255 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.5343 |
Predictive Modules for Betterware
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Betterware de Mxico. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Betterware After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Betterware at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Betterware or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Betterware, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Betterware Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Betterware's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Betterware's historical news coverage. Betterware's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.30 and 20.82, respectively. We have considered Betterware's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Betterware is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Betterware de Mxico is based on 3 months time horizon.
Betterware Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Betterware is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Betterware backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Betterware, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.76 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.97 | 18.06 | 0.50 |
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Betterware Hype Timeline
Betterware de Mxico is currently traded for 17.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Betterware is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Betterware is about 2000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.91. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.1 B. Net Income was 711.52 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.56 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Betterware to cross-verify your projections.Betterware Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Betterware's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Betterware's future price movements. Getting to know how Betterware's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Betterware may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HZO | MarineMax | (0.64) | 7 per month | 2.59 | 0.07 | 7.45 | (4.50) | 16.81 | |
| ARKO | Arko Corp | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.58 | 0.17 | 6.64 | (2.93) | 15.13 | |
| ZKH | ZKH Group Limited | (0.10) | 9 per month | 2.59 | 0.07 | 6.38 | (3.27) | 25.66 | |
| GDEN | Golden Entertainment | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.61 | 0.11 | 2.51 | (1.64) | 37.11 | |
| MBUU | Malibu Boats | (0.1) | 3 per month | 2.95 | 0.06 | 4.10 | (4.11) | 18.40 | |
| YSG | Yatsen Holding | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.79 | (6.13) | 38.70 | |
| LE | Lands End | 0.12 | 12 per month | 3.35 | 0.05 | 6.31 | (6.46) | 41.83 | |
| CPS | Cooper Stnd | (0.72) | 9 per month | 2.44 | 0.06 | 5.82 | (4.76) | 13.59 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.95 | (2.89) | 10.51 | |
| PBPB | Potbelly Co | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.10 | 0.10 | 2.91 | (3.50) | 31.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Betterware
For every potential investor in Betterware, whether a beginner or expert, Betterware's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Betterware Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Betterware. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Betterware's price trends.Betterware Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Betterware stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Betterware could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Betterware by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Betterware Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Betterware stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Betterware shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Betterware stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Betterware de Mxico entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Betterware Risk Indicators
The analysis of Betterware's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Betterware's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting betterware stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Variance | 7.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Betterware
The number of cover stories for Betterware depends on current market conditions and Betterware's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Betterware is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Betterware's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Betterware Short Properties
Betterware's future price predictability will typically decrease when Betterware's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Betterware de Mxico often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Betterware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Betterware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 296.6 M |
Additional Tools for Betterware Stock Analysis
When running Betterware's price analysis, check to measure Betterware's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Betterware is operating at the current time. Most of Betterware's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Betterware's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Betterware's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Betterware to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.