Beyond Securities Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BYD Stock | 0.52 0.01 1.96% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Beyond Securities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beyond Securities PCL from the perspective of Beyond Securities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beyond Securities PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.34. Beyond Securities after-hype prediction price | THB 0.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Beyond |
Beyond Securities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Beyond price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beyond using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beyond charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Beyond Securities Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beyond Securities PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beyond Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beyond Securities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Beyond Securities Stock Forecast Pattern
Beyond Securities Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Beyond Securities' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beyond Securities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.89, respectively. We have considered Beyond Securities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beyond Securities stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beyond Securities stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7336 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0216 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0394 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3377 |
Predictive Modules for Beyond Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beyond Securities PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Beyond Securities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Beyond Securities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beyond Securities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Beyond Securities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Beyond Securities Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beyond Securities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beyond Securities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beyond Securities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 4.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.52 | 0.52 | 0.00 |
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Beyond Securities Hype Timeline
Beyond Securities PCL is currently traded for 0.52on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Beyond is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Beyond Securities is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.52. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.Beyond Securities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Beyond Securities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beyond Securities' future price movements. Getting to know how Beyond Securities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beyond Securities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MST | Maybank Securities PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.75 | (1.44) | 3.58 | |
| BTC | The Brooker Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.85 | (3.70) | 10.85 | |
| ASP | Asia Plus Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.92 | (2.68) | 8.83 | |
| HENG | Heng Leasing Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.98 | (3.03) | 14.27 | |
| CGH | Country Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.08 | (3.70) | 8.34 | |
| NCAP | Next Capital Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.80 | (4.14) | 18.34 | |
| XPG | XSpring Capital Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.55 | (2.38) | 9.13 | |
| MFC | MFC Asset Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.82 | (1.61) | 23.00 | |
| TNITY | Trinity Watthana Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 4.48 | (4.29) | 17.90 | |
| TK | Thitikorn Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.94 | (1.79) | 4.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Beyond Securities
For every potential investor in Beyond, whether a beginner or expert, Beyond Securities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beyond Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beyond. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beyond Securities' price trends.Beyond Securities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beyond Securities stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beyond Securities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beyond Securities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Beyond Securities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beyond Securities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beyond Securities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beyond Securities stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beyond Securities PCL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Beyond Securities Risk Indicators
The analysis of Beyond Securities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beyond Securities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beyond stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.46 | |||
| Variance | 19.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Beyond Securities
The number of cover stories for Beyond Securities depends on current market conditions and Beyond Securities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beyond Securities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beyond Securities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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