Santander Bank Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BZI Stock | EUR 134.65 0.25 0.19% |
Santander Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Santander Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Santander Bank's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Santander Bank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Santander Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Santander Bank Polska from the perspective of Santander Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Santander Bank Polska on the next trading day is expected to be 134.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 140.68. Santander Bank after-hype prediction price | EUR 134.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Santander |
Santander Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Santander price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Santander using various technical indicators. When you analyze Santander charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Santander Bank Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Santander Bank Polska on the next trading day is expected to be 134.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34, mean absolute percentage error of 9.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 140.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Santander Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Santander Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Santander Bank Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Santander Bank | Santander Bank Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Santander Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Santander Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Santander Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 131.62 and 137.37, respectively. We have considered Santander Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Santander Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Santander Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5656 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4945 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3447 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0192 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 140.6819 |
Predictive Modules for Santander Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Santander Bank Polska. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Santander Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Santander Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Santander Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Santander Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Santander Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Santander Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Santander Bank's historical news coverage. Santander Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 131.77 and 137.53, respectively. We have considered Santander Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Santander Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Santander Bank Polska is based on 3 months time horizon.
Santander Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Santander Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Santander Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Santander Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
134.65 | 134.65 | 0.00 |
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Santander Bank Hype Timeline
Santander Bank Polska is currently traded for 134.65on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Santander is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Santander Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 134.65. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Santander Bank Polska recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.09. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Santander Bank to cross-verify your projections.Santander Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Santander Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Santander Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Santander Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Santander Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VNX | NXP Semiconductors NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.03 | 4.35 | (2.72) | 9.94 | |
| MKN2 | Semiconductor Manufacturing International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| N0S | Nordic Semiconductor ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.73 | (4.08) | 9.88 | |
| BSI | BE Semiconductor Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.06 | 4.89 | (3.92) | 17.06 | |
| CC3 | Cass Information Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.1 | 2.93 | (2.22) | 6.77 | |
| SMG | MagnaChip Semiconductor Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.63 | (6.25) | 14.98 | |
| 1HH | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.32 | 0.17 | 9.09 | (5.66) | 19.54 | |
| D6H | DATAGROUP SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.09 | 2.18 | (1.38) | 8.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Santander Bank
For every potential investor in Santander, whether a beginner or expert, Santander Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Santander Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Santander. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Santander Bank's price trends.Santander Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Santander Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Santander Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Santander Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Santander Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Santander Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Santander Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Santander Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Santander Bank Polska entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Santander Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Santander Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Santander Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting santander stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Variance | 8.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Santander Bank
The number of cover stories for Santander Bank depends on current market conditions and Santander Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Santander Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Santander Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Santander Stock
Santander Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Santander Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Santander with respect to the benefits of owning Santander Bank security.