Amundi CAC Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

CAC Etf  EUR 73.38  0.39  0.53%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Amundi CAC 40 on the next trading day is expected to be 72.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.10. Amundi Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Amundi CAC stock prices and determine the direction of Amundi CAC 40's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amundi CAC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Amundi CAC is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Amundi CAC 40 value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Amundi CAC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Amundi CAC 40 on the next trading day is expected to be 72.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amundi Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amundi CAC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amundi CAC Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Amundi CACAmundi CAC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Amundi CAC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amundi CAC's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amundi CAC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.66 and 73.47, respectively. We have considered Amundi CAC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.38
72.57
Expected Value
73.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amundi CAC etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amundi CAC etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1672
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4607
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0061
SAESum of the absolute errors28.104
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Amundi CAC 40. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Amundi CAC. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Amundi CAC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi CAC 40. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.4873.3874.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.0873.9874.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
72.8873.2573.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Amundi CAC

For every potential investor in Amundi, whether a beginner or expert, Amundi CAC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amundi Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amundi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amundi CAC's price trends.

Amundi CAC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amundi CAC etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amundi CAC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amundi CAC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amundi CAC 40 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amundi CAC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amundi CAC's current price.

Amundi CAC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amundi CAC etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amundi CAC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amundi CAC etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amundi CAC 40 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amundi CAC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amundi CAC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amundi CAC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amundi etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Amundi Etf

Amundi CAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi CAC security.