California-Engels Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CAEN Stock | USD 2.65 0.00 0.00% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of California Engels Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. California-Engels Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
California-Engels |
California-Engels Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of California Engels Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict California-Engels Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that California-Engels' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
California-Engels Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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California-Engels Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting California-Engels' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. California-Engels' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.65 and 2.65, respectively. We have considered California-Engels' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of California-Engels pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent California-Engels pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for California-Engels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as California Engels Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of California-Engels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for California-Engels
For every potential investor in California-Engels, whether a beginner or expert, California-Engels' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. California-Engels Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in California-Engels. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying California-Engels' price trends.California-Engels Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with California-Engels pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of California-Engels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing California-Engels by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
California Engels Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of California-Engels' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of California-Engels' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
California-Engels Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how California-Engels pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading California-Engels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying California-Engels pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify California Engels Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pair Trading with California-Engels
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if California-Engels position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in California-Engels will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to California-Engels could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace California-Engels when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back California-Engels - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling California Engels Mining to buy it.
The correlation of California-Engels is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as California-Engels moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if California Engels Mining moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for California-Engels can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in California-Engels Pink Sheet
California-Engels financial ratios help investors to determine whether California-Engels Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in California-Engels with respect to the benefits of owning California-Engels security.