Café Serendipity Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

CAFS Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Caf Serendipity Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000017 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Café Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Café Serendipity works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Café Serendipity Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Caf Serendipity Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000017, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Café Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Café Serendipity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Café Serendipity Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Café Serendipity Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Café Serendipity's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Café Serendipity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 16.82, respectively. We have considered Café Serendipity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.000002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
16.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Café Serendipity pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Café Serendipity pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.161
SAESum of the absolute errors0.001
When Caf Serendipity Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Caf Serendipity Holdings trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Café Serendipity observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Café Serendipity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caf Serendipity Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000216.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000216.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Café Serendipity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Café Serendipity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Café Serendipity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Caf Serendipity Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Café Serendipity

For every potential investor in Café, whether a beginner or expert, Café Serendipity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Café Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Café. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Café Serendipity's price trends.

Café Serendipity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Café Serendipity pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Café Serendipity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Café Serendipity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Caf Serendipity Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Café Serendipity's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Café Serendipity's current price.

Café Serendipity Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Café Serendipity pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Café Serendipity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Café Serendipity pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Caf Serendipity Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Café Serendipity Risk Indicators

The analysis of Café Serendipity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Café Serendipity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting café pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Café Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Café Serendipity's price analysis, check to measure Café Serendipity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Café Serendipity is operating at the current time. Most of Café Serendipity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Café Serendipity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Café Serendipity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Café Serendipity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.