Carrier Alliance Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CAHI Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Carrier Alliance Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Carrier Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Carrier Alliance's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of now, Carrier Alliance's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Carrier Alliance's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 4.65, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.10. . The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (125.1 K).

Carrier Alliance Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Carrier Alliance's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
565 K
Current Value
566.8 K
Quarterly Volatility
25.5 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Carrier Alliance is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Carrier Alliance Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Carrier Alliance Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Carrier Alliance Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Carrier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Carrier Alliance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Carrier Alliance Stock Forecast Pattern

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Carrier Alliance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Carrier Alliance's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Carrier Alliance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Carrier Alliance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Carrier Alliance stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Carrier Alliance stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Carrier Alliance Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Carrier Alliance. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Carrier Alliance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carrier Alliance Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carrier Alliance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carrier Alliance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carrier Alliance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Carrier Alliance Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Carrier Alliance

For every potential investor in Carrier, whether a beginner or expert, Carrier Alliance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Carrier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Carrier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Carrier Alliance's price trends.

Carrier Alliance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Carrier Alliance stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Carrier Alliance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Carrier Alliance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Carrier Alliance Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Carrier Alliance's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Carrier Alliance's current price.

Carrier Alliance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Carrier Alliance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Carrier Alliance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Carrier Alliance stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Carrier Alliance Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Carrier Alliance Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Carrier Alliance's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Carrier Alliance Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Carrier Alliance Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Carrier Alliance to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carrier Alliance. If investors know Carrier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carrier Alliance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Carrier Alliance Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carrier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carrier Alliance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carrier Alliance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carrier Alliance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carrier Alliance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carrier Alliance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carrier Alliance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carrier Alliance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.