CDN IMPERIAL Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CAI Stock | EUR 81.03 0.76 0.95% |
CDN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of CDN IMPERIAL's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CDN IMPERIAL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CDN IMPERIAL BANK from the perspective of CDN IMPERIAL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CDN IMPERIAL BANK on the next trading day is expected to be 81.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.94. CDN IMPERIAL after-hype prediction price | EUR 80.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CDN |
CDN IMPERIAL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CDN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CDN using various technical indicators. When you analyze CDN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CDN IMPERIAL Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CDN IMPERIAL BANK on the next trading day is expected to be 81.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21, mean absolute percentage error of 2.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CDN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CDN IMPERIAL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CDN IMPERIAL Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CDN IMPERIAL | CDN IMPERIAL Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CDN IMPERIAL Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CDN IMPERIAL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CDN IMPERIAL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.35 and 82.95, respectively. We have considered CDN IMPERIAL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CDN IMPERIAL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CDN IMPERIAL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8142 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2121 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0158 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 73.9356 |
Predictive Modules for CDN IMPERIAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CDN IMPERIAL BANK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CDN IMPERIAL After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CDN IMPERIAL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CDN IMPERIAL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CDN IMPERIAL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CDN IMPERIAL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CDN IMPERIAL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CDN IMPERIAL's historical news coverage. CDN IMPERIAL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78.91 and 81.51, respectively. We have considered CDN IMPERIAL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CDN IMPERIAL is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CDN IMPERIAL BANK is based on 3 months time horizon.
CDN IMPERIAL Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CDN IMPERIAL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CDN IMPERIAL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CDN IMPERIAL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.30 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
81.03 | 80.21 | 0.07 |
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CDN IMPERIAL Hype Timeline
CDN IMPERIAL BANK is currently traded for 81.03on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. CDN is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 80.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 108.33%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on CDN IMPERIAL is about 1050.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.05. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of March 1970. CDN IMPERIAL BANK had 2:1 split on the 16th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CDN IMPERIAL to cross-verify your projections.CDN IMPERIAL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CDN IMPERIAL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CDN IMPERIAL's future price movements. Getting to know how CDN IMPERIAL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CDN IMPERIAL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| P4Q | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.02 | 8 per month | 3.24 | 0.11 | 4.45 | (3.40) | 16.53 | |
| CUW | COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.11 | 2.67 | (2.48) | 15.45 | |
| CUW | Columbia Sportswear | (0.20) | 9 per month | 2.01 | 0.08 | 4.31 | (3.31) | 17.27 | |
| JATA | JAPAN TOBACCO UNSPADR12 | 0.20 | 2 per month | 0.77 | 0.03 | 1.91 | (1.32) | 4.68 | |
| 5PMA | GREENX METALS LTD | 0.02 | 5 per month | 3.04 | 0.08 | 7.55 | (6.12) | 29.12 | |
| D2V | PARKEN Sport Entertainment | (0.25) | 4 per month | 1.92 | 0.13 | 4.82 | (3.66) | 11.86 | |
| T2K1 | Transportadora de Gas | 0.80 | 5 per month | 3.46 | (0.02) | 5.51 | (6.15) | 20.94 | |
| US8 | MCEWEN MINING INC | 0.40 | 6 per month | 4.37 | 0.15 | 8.75 | (8.04) | 19.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for CDN IMPERIAL
For every potential investor in CDN, whether a beginner or expert, CDN IMPERIAL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CDN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CDN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CDN IMPERIAL's price trends.CDN IMPERIAL Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CDN IMPERIAL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CDN IMPERIAL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CDN IMPERIAL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CDN IMPERIAL Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CDN IMPERIAL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CDN IMPERIAL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CDN IMPERIAL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CDN IMPERIAL BANK entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CDN IMPERIAL Risk Indicators
The analysis of CDN IMPERIAL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CDN IMPERIAL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cdn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9508 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.904 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CDN IMPERIAL
The number of cover stories for CDN IMPERIAL depends on current market conditions and CDN IMPERIAL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CDN IMPERIAL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CDN IMPERIAL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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CDN IMPERIAL Short Properties
CDN IMPERIAL's future price predictability will typically decrease when CDN IMPERIAL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CDN IMPERIAL BANK often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CDN IMPERIAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CDN IMPERIAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 926.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -4 B |
Additional Tools for CDN Stock Analysis
When running CDN IMPERIAL's price analysis, check to measure CDN IMPERIAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CDN IMPERIAL is operating at the current time. Most of CDN IMPERIAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CDN IMPERIAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CDN IMPERIAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CDN IMPERIAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.