Canon Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

CAJFF Stock  USD 31.40  0.05  0.16%   
Canon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Canon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Canon's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Canon's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Canon and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Canon's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Canon Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Canon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canon Inc from the perspective of Canon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Canon Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 31.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.18.

Canon after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canon to cross-verify your projections.

Canon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Canon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Canon is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Canon Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Canon Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 31.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canon Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Canon  Canon Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Canon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Canon's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Canon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.19 and 33.61, respectively. We have considered Canon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.40
31.40
Expected Value
33.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canon pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canon pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5031
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.088
MADMean absolute deviation0.4197
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0142
SAESum of the absolute errors25.18
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Canon Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Canon. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Canon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canon Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.1931.4033.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.4929.7031.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.0830.5031.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Canon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Canon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Canon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Canon Inc.

Canon After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Canon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Canon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Canon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Canon's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canon's historical news coverage. Canon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.19 and 33.61, respectively. We have considered Canon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.40
31.40
After-hype Price
33.61
Upside
Canon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canon Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Canon Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.21
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.40
31.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Canon Hype Timeline

Canon Inc is currently traded for 31.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Canon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Canon is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.40. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Canon Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.73. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. The firm had 3:2 split on the 24th of July 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Canon to cross-verify your projections.

Canon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Canon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canon's future price movements. Getting to know how Canon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Canon

For every potential investor in Canon, whether a beginner or expert, Canon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Canon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Canon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Canon's price trends.

Canon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canon pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canon pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canon pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Canon Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Canon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Canon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Canon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting canon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Canon

The number of cover stories for Canon depends on current market conditions and Canon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Canon Pink Sheet

Canon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canon with respect to the benefits of owning Canon security.