Central Asia Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CAMLF Stock  USD 2.65  0.25  10.42%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Central Asia Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.58. Central Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Central Asia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Central Asia is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Central Asia Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Central Asia Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Central Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Central Asia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Central Asia Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Central Asia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Central Asia's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Central Asia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.16 and 5.14, respectively. We have considered Central Asia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.65
2.65
Expected Value
5.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Central Asia pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Central Asia pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.9045
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0165
MADMean absolute deviation0.0267
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.012
SAESum of the absolute errors1.575
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Central Asia Metals price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Central Asia. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Central Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Asia Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.162.655.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.364.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Central Asia

For every potential investor in Central, whether a beginner or expert, Central Asia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Central Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Central. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Central Asia's price trends.

Central Asia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Central Asia pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Central Asia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Central Asia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Central Asia Metals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Central Asia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Central Asia's current price.

Central Asia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Central Asia pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Central Asia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Central Asia pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Central Asia Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Central Asia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Central Asia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Central Asia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting central pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Central Pink Sheet

Central Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Central Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Central with respect to the benefits of owning Central Asia security.