CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Stock Forward View
| CAMP Stock | USD 3.70 0.17 4.39% |
CAMP4 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS fundamentals over time.
As of today, the RSI of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.28) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.76) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.94) | Wall Street Target Price 10.4 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.48) |
Using CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS PORATION from the perspective of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
CAMP4 Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS PORATION on the next trading day is expected to be 4.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.29.CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CAMP4. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CAMP4 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS PORATION. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS PORATION on the next trading day is expected to be 4.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.29. CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS after-hype prediction price | USD 3.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS to cross-verify your projections. CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CAMP4 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CAMP4 using various technical indicators. When you analyze CAMP4 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 39.1 M | Current Value 75.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 51 M |
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS PORATION on the next trading day is expected to be 4.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CAMP4 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS | CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 12.42, respectively. We have considered CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7549 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4241 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0889 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.2934 |
Predictive Modules for CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's historical news coverage. CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 11.96, respectively. We have considered CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS is based on 3 months time horizon.
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 8.23 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.70 | 3.73 | 0.81 |
|
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Hype Timeline
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS is currently traded for 3.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. CAMP4 is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.73 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.81%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS is about 9247.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.68. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 652 K. Net Loss for the year was (51.79 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (36.04 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS to cross-verify your projections.CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's future price movements. Getting to know how CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UNCY | Unicycive Therapeutics | (0.43) | 7 per month | 4.22 | 0.1 | 7.31 | (6.59) | 17.45 | |
| RPTX | Repare Therapeutics | (0.04) | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.11 | 3.95 | (3.26) | 35.71 | |
| VXRT | Vaxart Inc | 0.01 | 10 per month | 5.87 | 0.13 | 15.15 | (5.41) | 75.42 | |
| BMEA | Biomea Fusion | 0.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.38 | (8.33) | 28.51 | |
| HYFT | ImmunoPrecise Antibodies | (0.09) | 10 per month | 5.58 | 0.04 | 11.88 | (8.22) | 28.44 | |
| QNCX | Quince Therapeutics | (0.02) | 17 per month | 4.25 | 0.15 | 11.88 | (7.90) | 42.36 | |
| ALXO | Alx Oncology Holdings | (0.06) | 9 per month | 6.00 | (0.0007) | 13.04 | (9.41) | 27.69 | |
| ACRV | Acrivon Therapeutics Common | (0.36) | 6 per month | 7.62 | 0.01 | 8.21 | (9.09) | 66.02 | |
| PMVP | Pmv Pharmaceuticals | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.98 | (4.65) | 13.80 | |
| ATYR | aTyr Pharma | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.79 | (6.41) | 22.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS
For every potential investor in CAMP4, whether a beginner or expert, CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CAMP4 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CAMP4. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's price trends.CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS PORATION entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Risk Indicators
The analysis of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting camp4 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.99 | |||
| Variance | 63.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 62.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 50.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS
The number of cover stories for CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS depends on current market conditions and CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS Short Properties
CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's future price predictability will typically decrease when CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS PORATION often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64 M |
Additional Tools for CAMP4 Stock Analysis
When running CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's price analysis, check to measure CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS is operating at the current time. Most of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAMP4 THERAPEUTICS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.