Can Fin Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CANFINHOME   821.85  4.15  0.50%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Can Fin Homes on the next trading day is expected to be 825.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 784.47. Can Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Can Fin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Can Fin's Property Plant And Equipment Net is increasing as compared to previous years. The Can Fin's current Cash is estimated to increase to about 4.8 B, while Net Debt is forecasted to increase to (4.4 B).
A naive forecasting model for Can Fin is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Can Fin Homes value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Can Fin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Can Fin Homes on the next trading day is expected to be 825.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.86, mean absolute percentage error of 278.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 784.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Can Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Can Fin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Can Fin Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Can FinCan Fin Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Can Fin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Can Fin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Can Fin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 823.16 and 826.88, respectively. We have considered Can Fin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
821.85
823.16
Downside
825.02
Expected Value
826.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Can Fin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Can Fin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.7401
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation12.8602
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors784.4749
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Can Fin Homes. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Can Fin. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Can Fin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Can Fin Homes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
822.98824.84826.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
713.08714.94908.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.006.006.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Can Fin

For every potential investor in Can, whether a beginner or expert, Can Fin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Can Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Can. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Can Fin's price trends.

Can Fin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Can Fin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Can Fin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Can Fin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Can Fin Homes Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Can Fin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Can Fin's current price.

Can Fin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Can Fin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Can Fin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Can Fin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Can Fin Homes entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Can Fin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Can Fin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Can Fin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting can stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Can Stock

Can Fin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Can Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Can with respect to the benefits of owning Can Fin security.