Cango Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CANG Stock  USD 3.90  0.24  5.80%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cango Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.82. Cango Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cango's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Cango's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 125.80, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 25.18. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 115.4 M. The Cango's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (950.1 M).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Cango is based on an artificially constructed time series of Cango daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Cango 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cango Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cango Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cango's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cango Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cango Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cango's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cango's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.06, respectively. We have considered Cango's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.90
3.75
Expected Value
10.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cango stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cango stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.2814
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1817
MADMean absolute deviation0.2231
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0822
SAESum of the absolute errors11.825
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Cango Inc 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Cango

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cango Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.203.9010.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.839.14
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.753.023.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cango

For every potential investor in Cango, whether a beginner or expert, Cango's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cango Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cango. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cango's price trends.

Cango Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cango stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cango could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cango by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cango Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cango's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cango's current price.

Cango Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cango stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cango shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cango stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cango Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cango Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cango's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cango's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cango stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Cango Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cango's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cango's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cango Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cango to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cango. If investors know Cango will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cango listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.923
Earnings Share
0.18
Revenue Per Share
2.528
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.92)
Return On Assets
0.0154
The market value of Cango Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cango that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cango's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cango's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cango's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cango's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cango's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cango is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cango's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.