Calamos Alternative Etf Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CANQ Etf | 29.87 0.09 0.30% |
Calamos Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of Calamos Alternative's share price is at 50 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Calamos Alternative, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Calamos Alternative hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Calamos Alternative Nasdaq from the perspective of Calamos Alternative response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Calamos Alternative Nasdaq on the next trading day is expected to be 29.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.53. Calamos Alternative after-hype prediction price | USD 29.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Calamos Alternative to cross-verify your projections. Calamos Alternative Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Calamos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Calamos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Calamos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Calamos Alternative Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Calamos Alternative Nasdaq on the next trading day is expected to be 29.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Calamos Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Calamos Alternative's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Calamos Alternative Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Calamos Alternative | Calamos Alternative Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Calamos Alternative Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Calamos Alternative's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Calamos Alternative's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.27 and 30.48, respectively. We have considered Calamos Alternative's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Calamos Alternative etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Calamos Alternative etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0264 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1421 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0048 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.5258 |
Predictive Modules for Calamos Alternative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Alternative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Calamos Alternative After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Calamos Alternative at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Calamos Alternative or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Calamos Alternative, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Calamos Alternative Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Calamos Alternative's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Calamos Alternative's historical news coverage. Calamos Alternative's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.27 and 30.47, respectively. We have considered Calamos Alternative's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Calamos Alternative is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Calamos Alternative is based on 3 months time horizon.
Calamos Alternative Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Calamos Alternative is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Calamos Alternative backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Calamos Alternative, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.87 | 29.87 | 0.00 |
|
Calamos Alternative Hype Timeline
Calamos Alternative is currently traded for 29.87. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Calamos is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Calamos Alternative is about 789.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.87. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Calamos Alternative to cross-verify your projections.Calamos Alternative Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Calamos Alternative's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Calamos Alternative's future price movements. Getting to know how Calamos Alternative's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Calamos Alternative may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFUL | Collaborative Investment Series | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.25 | (0.17) | 0.37 | (0.51) | 1.24 | |
| ZHDG | ZEGA Buy and | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.81 | (0.84) | 3.19 | |
| AIBU | Direxion Shares ETF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.43 | (6.03) | 15.07 | |
| BCIL | Exchange Listed Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.01 | (1.64) | 3.51 | |
| NITE | The Nightview ETF | (0.65) | 1 per month | 1.27 | (0.02) | 1.89 | (2.46) | 5.91 | |
| URAA | Direxion Shares ETF | (0.10) | 4 per month | 6.29 | 0.01 | 9.85 | (10.29) | 32.16 | |
| DIVY | Tidal ETF Trust | (0.11) | 2 per month | 0.53 | 0.07 | 1.20 | (1.12) | 3.26 | |
| NXTI | Simplify Next Intangible | (0.13) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.23 | (1.69) | 3.08 | |
| INRO | BlackRock Industry Rotation | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.89 | (0.05) | 0.88 | (1.28) | 3.92 | |
| ORR | Militia LongShort Equity | 0.15 | 1 per month | 0.53 | 0.20 | 1.05 | (1.16) | 3.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Calamos Alternative
For every potential investor in Calamos, whether a beginner or expert, Calamos Alternative's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Calamos Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Calamos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Calamos Alternative's price trends.Calamos Alternative Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Calamos Alternative etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Calamos Alternative could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Calamos Alternative by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Calamos Alternative Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Calamos Alternative etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Calamos Alternative shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Calamos Alternative etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Calamos Alternative Nasdaq entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Calamos Alternative Risk Indicators
The analysis of Calamos Alternative's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Calamos Alternative's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting calamos etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4665 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6249 | |||
| Variance | 0.3905 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Calamos Alternative
The number of cover stories for Calamos Alternative depends on current market conditions and Calamos Alternative's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Calamos Alternative is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Calamos Alternative's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Calamos Alternative to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Understanding Calamos Alternative requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Calamos's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Calamos Alternative's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Calamos Alternative's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Calamos Alternative's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Calamos Alternative should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Calamos Alternative's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.