Capricor Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CAPR Stock | USD 23.55 0.07 0.30% |
Capricor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Capricor Therapeutics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Capricor Therapeutics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Capricor Therapeutics fundamentals over time.
As of today, The RSI of Capricor Therapeutics' share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Capricor Therapeutics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.53) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.16) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1514 | Wall Street Target Price 50.8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.54) |
Using Capricor Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capricor Therapeutics from the perspective of Capricor Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Capricor Therapeutics using Capricor Therapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Capricor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Capricor Therapeutics' stock price.
Capricor Therapeutics Short Interest
An investor who is long Capricor Therapeutics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Capricor Therapeutics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Capricor Therapeutics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.4427 | Short Percent 0.1036 | Short Ratio 1.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 20.3298 |
Capricor Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Capricor Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 23.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.22.Capricor Therapeutics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Capricor Therapeutics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Capricor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Capricor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Capricor Therapeutics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Capricor Therapeutics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Capricor Therapeutics.
Capricor Therapeutics Implied Volatility | 1.12 |
Capricor Therapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Capricor Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Capricor Therapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Capricor Therapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Capricor Therapeutics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Capricor Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 23.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.22. Capricor Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 20.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capricor Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Capricor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Capricor Therapeutics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.07% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Capricor Therapeutics trading at USD 23.55, that is roughly USD 0.0165 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Capricor Therapeutics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Capricor Therapeutics options at the current volatility level of 1.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Capricor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Capricor Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Capricor Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Capricor Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Capricor Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Capricor Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Capricor Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Capricor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Capricor Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capricor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capricor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capricor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Capricor Therapeutics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Capricor Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 23.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09, mean absolute percentage error of 11.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capricor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capricor Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Capricor Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Capricor Therapeutics | Capricor Therapeutics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Capricor Therapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Capricor Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capricor Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.24 and 71.55, respectively. We have considered Capricor Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capricor Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capricor Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8376 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4354 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0885 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0569 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 64.22 |
Predictive Modules for Capricor Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capricor Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capricor Therapeutics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capricor Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capricor Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capricor Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capricor Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capricor Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capricor Therapeutics' historical news coverage. Capricor Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.01 and 68.09, respectively. We have considered Capricor Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capricor Therapeutics is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capricor Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capricor Therapeutics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capricor Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capricor Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capricor Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
5.75 | 47.97 | 1.32 | 11.90 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.55 | 20.12 | 14.81 |
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Capricor Therapeutics Hype Timeline
Capricor Therapeutics is currently traded for 23.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 11.9. Capricor is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -14.81%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 5.75%. The volatility of related hype on Capricor Therapeutics is about 2317.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.45. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.75. Capricor Therapeutics last dividend was issued on the 5th of June 2019. The entity had 1:10 split on the 5th of June 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capricor Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.Capricor Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capricor Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capricor Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how Capricor Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capricor Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRK | Merck Company | 1.34 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.15 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc | 0.09 | 7 per month | 1.07 | 0.03 | 2.02 | (1.92) | 7.97 | |
| YFYA | Listed Funds Trust | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 0.82 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.07 | (4.04) | 11.11 | |
| EAT | Brinker International | 1.40 | 10 per month | 2.58 | 0.07 | 6.16 | (4.67) | 12.88 | |
| TWEIX | Equity Income Fund | 15.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.06 | (0.81) | 8.81 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | (1.90) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.51 | (4.96) | 14.50 | |
| TILE | Interface | 0.75 | 12 per month | 1.75 | 0.06 | 2.93 | (2.51) | 8.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Capricor Therapeutics
For every potential investor in Capricor, whether a beginner or expert, Capricor Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capricor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capricor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capricor Therapeutics' price trends.Capricor Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capricor Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capricor Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capricor Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Capricor Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capricor Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capricor Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capricor Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capricor Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Capricor Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Capricor Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capricor Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capricor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 12.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 46.12 | |||
| Variance | 2126.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 39.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (16.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Capricor Therapeutics
The number of cover stories for Capricor Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and Capricor Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capricor Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capricor Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Capricor Therapeutics Short Properties
Capricor Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Capricor Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capricor Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capricor Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capricor Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 151.5 M |
Additional Tools for Capricor Stock Analysis
When running Capricor Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Capricor Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capricor Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Capricor Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capricor Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capricor Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capricor Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.