ACC Aviation Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

CAVG Stock  USD 0.17  0.15  1,018%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ACC Aviation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08. ACC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ACC Aviation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
ACC Aviation polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for ACC Aviation Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

ACC Aviation Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ACC Aviation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ACC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ACC Aviation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ACC Aviation Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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ACC Aviation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ACC Aviation's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ACC Aviation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 125.98, respectively. We have considered ACC Aviation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.17
0.10
Expected Value
125.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ACC Aviation pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ACC Aviation pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.2757
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0176
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.4806
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0756
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the ACC Aviation historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for ACC Aviation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACC Aviation Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ACC Aviation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1758.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1358.63
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ACC Aviation

For every potential investor in ACC, whether a beginner or expert, ACC Aviation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ACC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ACC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ACC Aviation's price trends.

ACC Aviation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ACC Aviation pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ACC Aviation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ACC Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ACC Aviation Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ACC Aviation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ACC Aviation's current price.

ACC Aviation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ACC Aviation pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ACC Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ACC Aviation pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ACC Aviation Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ACC Aviation Risk Indicators

The analysis of ACC Aviation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ACC Aviation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acc pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ACC Pink Sheet

ACC Aviation financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACC with respect to the benefits of owning ACC Aviation security.