Citba Financial OTC Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

CBAF Stock  USD 37.50  0.09  0.24%   
Citba OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Citba Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Citba Financial's share price is above 70 as of 31st of January 2026 suggesting that the otc stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Citba, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 74

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Citba Financial Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Citba Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Citba Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Citba Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Citba Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citba Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Citba Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Citba Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citba Financial Corp from the perspective of Citba Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Citba Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.28.

Citba Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citba Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Citba Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Citba price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citba using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citba charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Citba Financial polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Citba Financial Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Citba Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Citba Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Citba OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Citba Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Citba Financial OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Citba Financial  Citba Financial Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Citba Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Citba Financial's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Citba Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.35 and 37.35, respectively. We have considered Citba Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.50
36.35
Expected Value
37.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Citba Financial otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Citba Financial otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0478
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.48
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0136
SAESum of the absolute errors29.2785
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Citba Financial historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Citba Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citba Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.5037.5038.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.0830.0841.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.7737.2937.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Citba Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Citba Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Citba Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Citba Financial Corp.

Citba Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Citba Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citba Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Citba Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Citba Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Citba Financial's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citba Financial's historical news coverage. Citba Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.50 and 38.50, respectively. We have considered Citba Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.50
37.50
After-hype Price
38.50
Upside
Citba Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citba Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Citba Financial OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Citba Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citba Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citba Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
1.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.50
37.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Citba Financial Hype Timeline

Citba Financial Corp is currently traded for 37.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Citba is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Citba Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.50. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Citba Financial Corp last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of July 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citba Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Citba Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Citba Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citba Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Citba Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citba Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CEFCCommercial National Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.20  2.41 (1.06) 5.36 
FFWCFFW Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  0.69 (0.55) 3.53 
NIDBNortheast Indiana Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.92  0.07  2.30 (1.83) 7.18 
PBKXPartners Bank of 0.00 0 per month 0.26  0.18  3.01 (1.00) 5.98 
UNBKUnited National Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.32) 0.00 (0.02) 3.34 
FBVIFCN Banc Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.63  0.05  1.47 (1.29) 6.89 
EQFNEquitable Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.76  0.02  2.18 (1.93) 8.23 
PVBKPacific Valley Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.52 (0.04) 1.42 (1.11) 5.57 
HFBKHarford Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.13  0.07  3.29 (2.21) 13.08 
FMFGFarmers and Merchants 0.00 0 per month 0.86  0.15  2.12 (1.73) 9.45 

Other Forecasting Options for Citba Financial

For every potential investor in Citba, whether a beginner or expert, Citba Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Citba OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Citba. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Citba Financial's price trends.

Citba Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Citba Financial otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Citba Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citba Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Citba Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Citba Financial otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citba Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Citba Financial otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Citba Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Citba Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Citba Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Citba Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citba otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Citba Financial

The number of cover stories for Citba Financial depends on current market conditions and Citba Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citba Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citba Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Citba OTC Stock

Citba Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citba OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citba with respect to the benefits of owning Citba Financial security.