Close Brothers Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CBGPF Stock  USD 7.20  1.02  16.50%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Close Brothers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66. Close Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Close Brothers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Close Brothers' share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 85

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Close Brothers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Close Brothers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Close Brothers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Close Brothers Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Close Brothers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Close Brothers Group from the perspective of Close Brothers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Close Brothers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.

Close Brothers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Close Brothers to cross-verify your projections.

Close Brothers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Close price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Close using various technical indicators. When you analyze Close charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Close Brothers simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Close Brothers Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Close Brothers Group prices get older.

Close Brothers Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Close Brothers Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Close Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Close Brothers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Close Brothers Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Close Brothers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Close Brothers' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Close Brothers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.99 and 10.41, respectively. We have considered Close Brothers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.20
7.20
Expected Value
10.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Close Brothers pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Close Brothers pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8901
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0115
MADMean absolute deviation0.0436
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.007
SAESum of the absolute errors2.66
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Close Brothers Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Close Brothers observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Close Brothers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Close Brothers Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.017.2010.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.596.789.97
Details

Close Brothers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Close Brothers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Close Brothers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Close Brothers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Close Brothers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Close Brothers' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Close Brothers' historical news coverage. Close Brothers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.01 and 10.39, respectively. We have considered Close Brothers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.20
7.20
After-hype Price
10.39
Upside
Close Brothers is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Close Brothers Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Close Brothers Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Close Brothers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Close Brothers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Close Brothers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
3.21
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.20
7.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Close Brothers Hype Timeline

Close Brothers Group is currently traded for 7.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Close is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Close Brothers is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.20. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Close Brothers Group last dividend was issued on the 13th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Close Brothers to cross-verify your projections.

Close Brothers Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Close Brothers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Close Brothers' future price movements. Getting to know how Close Brothers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Close Brothers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNSRFCoinShares International Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.41 (5.28) 15.25 
CEVIYChina Everbright 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
THNUYThanachart Capital PCL 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ZSYCSmart Closet 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  99.98 
RMANFRoadman Investments Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CNECFCenturia Capital Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  5.91 
NBPVFNB Private Equity 0.00 0 per month 1.07 (0.04) 4.05 (2.44) 9.76 
EFGZFEFG Hermes Holding SAE 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GKSGFGrenke AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  20.60 
PTZIFPatrizia AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Close Brothers

For every potential investor in Close, whether a beginner or expert, Close Brothers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Close Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Close. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Close Brothers' price trends.

Close Brothers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Close Brothers pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Close Brothers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Close Brothers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Close Brothers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Close Brothers pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Close Brothers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Close Brothers pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Close Brothers Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Close Brothers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Close Brothers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Close Brothers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting close pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Close Brothers

The number of cover stories for Close Brothers depends on current market conditions and Close Brothers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Close Brothers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Close Brothers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Close Pink Sheet

Close Brothers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Close Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Close with respect to the benefits of owning Close Brothers security.