Cannabis Bioscience Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CBIH Stock   0.0007  0.0001  16.67%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cannabis Bioscience International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000049 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Cannabis Bioscience's stock prices and determine the direction of Cannabis Bioscience International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cannabis Bioscience's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
A naive forecasting model for Cannabis Bioscience is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cannabis Bioscience International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cannabis Bioscience Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cannabis Bioscience International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000049, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cannabis Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cannabis Bioscience's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cannabis Bioscience Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Cannabis Bioscience Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cannabis Bioscience's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cannabis Bioscience's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000007 and 17.50, respectively. We have considered Cannabis Bioscience's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0007
0.000007
Downside
0.0007
Expected Value
17.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cannabis Bioscience pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cannabis Bioscience pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.7141
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0961
SAESum of the absolute errors0.003
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cannabis Bioscience International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cannabis Bioscience. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cannabis Bioscience

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cannabis Bioscience. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Cannabis Bioscience

For every potential investor in Cannabis, whether a beginner or expert, Cannabis Bioscience's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cannabis Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cannabis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cannabis Bioscience's price trends.

Cannabis Bioscience Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cannabis Bioscience pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cannabis Bioscience could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cannabis Bioscience by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cannabis Bioscience Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cannabis Bioscience's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cannabis Bioscience's current price.

Cannabis Bioscience Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cannabis Bioscience pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cannabis Bioscience shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cannabis Bioscience pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Cannabis Bioscience International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cannabis Bioscience Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cannabis Bioscience's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cannabis Bioscience's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cannabis pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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