Auxly Cannabis OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CBWTF Stock | USD 0.09 0 4.58% |
Auxly OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Auxly Cannabis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the value of rsi of Auxly Cannabis' share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Auxly Cannabis based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Auxly Cannabis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Auxly Cannabis Group from the perspective of Auxly Cannabis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Auxly Cannabis Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.21. Auxly Cannabis after-hype prediction price | USD 0.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Auxly |
Auxly Cannabis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Auxly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Auxly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Auxly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Auxly Cannabis Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Auxly Cannabis Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000028, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Auxly OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Auxly Cannabis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Auxly Cannabis OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Auxly Cannabis | Auxly Cannabis Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Auxly Cannabis Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Auxly Cannabis' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Auxly Cannabis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 5.46, respectively. We have considered Auxly Cannabis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Auxly Cannabis otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Auxly Cannabis otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.7762 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 6.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0034 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.032 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2059 |
Predictive Modules for Auxly Cannabis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auxly Cannabis Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Auxly Cannabis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Auxly Cannabis After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Auxly Cannabis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Auxly Cannabis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Auxly Cannabis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Auxly Cannabis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Auxly Cannabis' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Auxly Cannabis' historical news coverage. Auxly Cannabis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 5.48, respectively. We have considered Auxly Cannabis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Auxly Cannabis is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Auxly Cannabis Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Auxly Cannabis OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Auxly Cannabis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Auxly Cannabis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Auxly Cannabis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 5.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.09 | 0.09 | 1.75 |
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Auxly Cannabis Hype Timeline
Auxly Cannabis Group is currently traded for 0.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Auxly is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -1.75%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Auxly Cannabis is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.09. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Auxly Cannabis Group recorded a loss per share of 0.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:1 split on the 10th of April 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Auxly Cannabis to cross-verify your projections.Auxly Cannabis Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Auxly Cannabis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Auxly Cannabis' future price movements. Getting to know how Auxly Cannabis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Auxly Cannabis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AAWH | Ascend Wellness Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.20 | 0.02 | 12.24 | (15.22) | 76.16 | |
| BKUH | Bakhu Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ORXOY | Orexo AB ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.79 | |
| LOVFF | Cannara Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.06 | 6.77 | (3.94) | 15.50 | |
| WLDFF | Wildflower Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JUSHF | Jushi Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.50 | 0.03 | 18.33 | (10.77) | 104.05 | |
| YOURF | YourWay Cannabis Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HLTRF | HLS Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.00 | (1.98) | 7.96 | |
| PHCUF | Photocure ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.45 | |
| BXPHF | Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.01 | 0.03 | 12.86 | (12.82) | 56.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Auxly Cannabis
For every potential investor in Auxly, whether a beginner or expert, Auxly Cannabis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Auxly OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Auxly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Auxly Cannabis' price trends.Auxly Cannabis Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Auxly Cannabis otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Auxly Cannabis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Auxly Cannabis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Auxly Cannabis Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Auxly Cannabis otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Auxly Cannabis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Auxly Cannabis otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Auxly Cannabis Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 21311.58 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.88) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0925 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0922 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0) |
Auxly Cannabis Risk Indicators
The analysis of Auxly Cannabis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Auxly Cannabis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting auxly otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.16 | |||
| Variance | 26.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Auxly Cannabis
The number of cover stories for Auxly Cannabis depends on current market conditions and Auxly Cannabis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Auxly Cannabis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Auxly Cannabis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Auxly OTC Stock
Auxly Cannabis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Auxly OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Auxly with respect to the benefits of owning Auxly Cannabis security.