Cass Information Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CC3 Stock  EUR 39.40  0.40  1.03%   
Cass Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Cass Information's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Cass Information's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cass Information's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cass Information and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cass Information's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cass Information Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cass Information's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Using Cass Information hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cass Information Systems from the perspective of Cass Information response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cass Information Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 39.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.97.

Cass Information after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 39.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cass Information to cross-verify your projections.

Cass Information Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cass Information simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Cass Information Systems are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Cass Information Systems prices get older.

Cass Information Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cass Information Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 39.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cass Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cass Information's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cass Information Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cass Information  Cass Information Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Cass Information Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cass Information's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cass Information's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.77 and 41.03, respectively. We have considered Cass Information's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.40
39.40
Expected Value
41.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cass Information stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cass Information stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2845
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0908
MADMean absolute deviation0.4662
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors27.97
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Cass Information Systems forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Cass Information observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Cass Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cass Information Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.5739.2040.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.3637.9939.62
Details

Cass Information After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cass Information at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cass Information or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cass Information, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cass Information Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cass Information's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cass Information's historical news coverage. Cass Information's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.57 and 40.83, respectively. We have considered Cass Information's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.40
39.20
After-hype Price
40.83
Upside
Cass Information is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cass Information Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cass Information Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cass Information is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cass Information backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cass Information, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.63
  0.18 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.40
39.20
0.51 
163.00  
Notes

Cass Information Hype Timeline

Cass Information Systems is currently traded for 39.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Cass is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 163.0%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.51%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Cass Information is about 780.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.44. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cass Information was currently reported as 15.97. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cass Information to cross-verify your projections.

Cass Information Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cass Information's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cass Information's future price movements. Getting to know how Cass Information's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cass Information may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AZUEbro Foods SA 0.00 2 per month 0.65 (0.02) 1.56 (1.30) 3.84 
LWFLIFEWAY FOODS 0.06 11 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.14 (2.91) 11.50 
NF2NISSIN FOODS HLDGS 0.1 5 per month 1.00 (0.06) 1.95 (1.89) 6.43 
M5VEHEALTH 0.70 7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.34 (7.30) 32.53 
HBODiamondRock Hospitality(0.1)7 per month 1.45  0.11  3.82 (2.67) 12.19 
5EZSHIP HEALTHCARE HLDGINC 0.20 2 per month 1.28  0.03  1.54 (1.46) 10.03 
T6WThai Beverage Public(0.01)3 per month 2.52  0  6.90 (6.45) 13.81 
TF7ATyson Foods 0.72 6 per month 0.86  0.15  3.37 (1.73) 8.31 

Other Forecasting Options for Cass Information

For every potential investor in Cass, whether a beginner or expert, Cass Information's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cass Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cass. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cass Information's price trends.

Cass Information Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cass Information stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cass Information could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cass Information by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cass Information Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cass Information stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cass Information shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cass Information stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cass Information Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cass Information Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cass Information's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cass Information's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cass stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cass Information

The number of cover stories for Cass Information depends on current market conditions and Cass Information's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cass Information is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cass Information's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Cass Information Systems is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cass Information's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cass Information's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cass Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cass Information to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
It's important to distinguish between Cass Information's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cass Information should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cass Information's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.