Coastal Capital Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CCAJ Stock  USD 0  0.0004  18.18%   
Coastal Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Coastal Capital's share price is at 50 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coastal Capital, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Coastal Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coastal Capital Acq, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Coastal Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coastal Capital Acq from the perspective of Coastal Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coastal Capital Acq on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.

Coastal Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.001476  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coastal Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Coastal Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Coastal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coastal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coastal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Coastal Capital simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Coastal Capital Acq are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Coastal Capital Acq prices get older.

Coastal Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coastal Capital Acq on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000023, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coastal Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coastal Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coastal Capital Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Coastal Capital  Coastal Capital Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Coastal Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coastal Capital's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coastal Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000018 and 30.74, respectively. We have considered Coastal Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000018
Downside
0
Expected Value
30.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coastal Capital pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coastal Capital pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.8375
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1156
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0128
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Coastal Capital Acq forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Coastal Capital observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Coastal Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coastal Capital Acq. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00030.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00030.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coastal Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coastal Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coastal Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Coastal Capital Acq.

Coastal Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Coastal Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coastal Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Coastal Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Coastal Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Coastal Capital's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coastal Capital's historical news coverage. Coastal Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 30.74, respectively. We have considered Coastal Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
30.74
Upside
Coastal Capital is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coastal Capital Acq is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coastal Capital Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coastal Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coastal Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coastal Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  4.56 
30.74
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
17.99 
0.00  
Notes

Coastal Capital Hype Timeline

Coastal Capital Acq is currently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Coastal is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.001476. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -17.99%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 4.56%. The volatility of related hype on Coastal Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Coastal Capital Acq had 6:1 split on the 16th of November 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coastal Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Coastal Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Coastal Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coastal Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Coastal Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coastal Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AGGIAllied Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0) 8.00 (7.41) 42.93 
SVLTSunvault Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  0.00  0.00  116.67 
MNDPMundus Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0005  0.00  0.00  28.57 
VCORVisiber57 Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
STQNStrategic Acquis 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  32.61 
ICTYEyecityCom 0.00 0 per month 8.59  0.02  33.33 (25.00) 58.33 
BBLCBlockchain Loyalty Corp 0.00 0 per month 15.19  0.19  92.73 (43.40) 306.02 
BCIIBlockchain Industries 0.00 0 per month 9.37  0  20.00 (18.75) 50.79 
CRVHChilco River Holdings 0.00 0 per month 11.87  0.10  33.33 (13.91) 207.30 
IVFZFInvictus Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  105.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Coastal Capital

For every potential investor in Coastal, whether a beginner or expert, Coastal Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coastal Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coastal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coastal Capital's price trends.

Coastal Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coastal Capital pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coastal Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coastal Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coastal Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coastal Capital pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coastal Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coastal Capital pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Coastal Capital Acq entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coastal Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coastal Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coastal Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coastal pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Coastal Capital

The number of cover stories for Coastal Capital depends on current market conditions and Coastal Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coastal Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coastal Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Coastal Pink Sheet

Coastal Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coastal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coastal with respect to the benefits of owning Coastal Capital security.